sentix Survey results (45-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 12 November 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity bias weakens - especially among institutional investors

The slide in the price of crude oil has completely dampened the optimism that still existed in recent weeks. The price movement in the black gold price is also fueling hope for the inflation outlook, which in turn is also reflected in the strategic bias for bonds. Conversely, it is the equity outlook that is now losing ground. The US presidential cycle warns of a weak second half of November.

Further results

• Bonds: Buying intentions continue to rise
• Bitcoins: No profit-taking indicated
• sentix sector sentiment

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Small ray of hope, but no all-clear

Written by Patrick Hussy | 06 November 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

The November data provides some hope: the economic index for the eurozone rises by 3.4 points to -18.6 points. Economic expectations in particular are surprising with an increase of 6.8 points. A similar trend can be seen for Germany. While the current assessment remains in recessionary territory, expectations are recovering even more dynamically. There are also small rays of hope in the international data. Economic expectations are rising almost everywhere, with the situation figures in the USA even showing an exclamation mark. Despite these glimmers of hope, the issue of stagnation is not yet off the table.

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Not weaker, not better

Written by Manfred Hübner | 09 October 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

The global economy is still in a difficult situation at the beginning of autumn in the northern hemisphere. In the Eurozone, and especially in Germany, the economic situation remains weak and the recessionary tendencies persist. At least there is a slight ray of hope in the form of rising expectations. However, it would be premature to declare a turnaround. If we look further into other regions, we see a largely unchanged picture. Cooling tendencies dominate. A positive trend reversal is nowhere to be found here either.

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Data revision notification SNTL

Written by Manfred Hübner | 25 August 2023
Posted in Database news

Dear data client, due to a bug, a data point in the SNTL data sets for May 2010 was missing. We have reconstructed the data and added the missing data point to the data series.

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Behavioral Finance: Understanding the Psychology Behind Financial Decision-Making

Written by Manfred Hübner | 24 August 2023
Posted in Woolly thoughts (blog)

In the realm of traditional finance, economic theories often assume that investors are rational, utility-maximizing individuals who make decisions based on all available information. However, in reality, human behavior is far more complex and often deviates from these rational models. This realization has given rise to a field known as behavioral finance, which seeks to understand the psychological factors that influence financial decision-making and the subsequent impact on markets and economic outcomes.

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