sentix Survey results (17-2025)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 April 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

The equity bears are retreating

The counter-movement on the US stock market is clearly unsettling the bears, who are retreating to the neutral camp. New bulls, on the other hand, are emerging only slowly. While this may prolong the current upward momentum, it is more reminiscent of a bear market rally than a new bull market. We measure further interesting data in the OCI for equities and bonds, as well as in the currency segment and for gold.

Further results

• Equities vs. Bonds: Too much confidence in bonds
• FX: An interesting look at USD-CHF
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (16-2025)

Written by Admin sentix | 20 April 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Easter edition

We wish all sentix participants a happy Easter with hopefully eggs without cracks.
Today you will receive the Easter edition of a short commentary on the sentiment highlights.

Further results

• FX: Damage to confidence in the US dollar reaches the next level
• Precious metals: Prefer silver-plating golden Easter eggs
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (15-2025)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 April 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Trump-o-meter at all-time low

The disenchantment with Donald Trump and the impact of his policies on the stock market is reaching a new dimension. Compared to his first term in office, the incumbent US president is starting with enormous advance praise. There is nothing left of the Trump euphoria in autumn. The barometer falls to an all-time low! The initial shock on the stock market subsides somewhat, but the damage (to confidence) that has already been done is enormous. This is reflected in the bond and FX sectors.

Further results

• FX & Bonds: Massive loss of confidence for US assets
• Bitcoins: Almost the best that the sentix data ring has to offer
• sentix sector sentiment

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Shock due to tariffs

Written by Patrick Hussy | 07 April 2025
Posted in sentix Economic News

Trump's tariff hammer sends the sentix economic indices plummeting globally. The overall index for the eurozone falls by 16.7 points to -19.5 points, its lowest level since October 2023. The euphoria for the economy in Germany / EU from the previous month has evaporated. In particular, economic expectations for the eurozone are falling at a record pace. The slump of 33.8 points is the second sharpest ever recorded in the history of sentix. At -36.3 points, German economic expectations fell even more sharply. In the previous month, the divergent trend between the eurozone (strongest upturn since the coronavirus/financial crisis) and the one-off slump in the US caused a stir. This slump accelerated again in April. US economic expectations fell to their lowest level since October 2008, while the tariff shock fuelled fears of a global recession.

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Unique decoupling

Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 March 2025
Posted in sentix Economic News

The announcement of debt-financed armaments programmes (EU and Germany) and infrastructure investments (Germany) has investors positively euphoric about further economic development. The sentix economic index for the euro area rises by 9.8 points to -2.9 points. At the same time, we are witnessing a historic crash in US eco-nomic indicators, the likes of which we have only seen during the 2008 financial crisis. The US expectations index falls for the third time in a row by 25.8 points to -17.8 points. How realistic and sustainable are both investor-designed scenarios?

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