sentix Survey results (17-2025)

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The equity bears are retreating

The counter-movement on the US stock market is clearly unsettling the bears, who are retreating to the neutral camp. New bulls, on the other hand, are emerging only slowly. While this may prolong the current upward momentum, it is more reminiscent of a bear market rally than a new bull market. We measure further interesting data in the OCI for equities and bonds, as well as in the currency segment and for gold.

Further results

  • Equities vs. Bonds: Too much confidence in bonds
  • FX: An interesting look at USD-CHF
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (16-2025)

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Easter edition

We wish all sentix participants a happy Easter with hopefully eggs without cracks.
Today you will receive the Easter edition of a short commentary on the sentiment highlights.

Further results

  • FX: Damage to confidence in the US dollar reaches the next level
  • Precious metals: Prefer silver-plating golden Easter eggs
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (15-2025)

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Trump-o-meter at all-time low

The disenchantment with Donald Trump and the impact of his policies on the stock market is reaching a new dimension. Compared to his first term in office, the incumbent US president is starting with enormous advance praise. There is nothing left of the Trump euphoria in autumn. The barometer falls to an all-time low! The initial shock on the stock market subsides somewhat, but the damage (to confidence) that has already been done is enormous. This is reflected in the bond and FX sectors.

Further results

  • FX & Bonds: Massive loss of confidence for US assets
  • Bitcoins: Almost the best that the sentix data ring has to offer
  • sentix sector sentiment

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Shock due to tariffs

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Trump's tariff hammer sends the sentix economic indices plummeting globally. The overall index for the eurozone falls by 16.7 points to -19.5 points, its lowest level since October 2023. The euphoria for the economy in Germany / EU from the previous month has evaporated. In particular, economic expectations for the eurozone are falling at a record pace. The slump of 33.8 points is the second sharpest ever recorded in the history of sentix. At -36.3 points, German economic expectations fell even more sharply. In the previous month, the divergent trend between the eurozone (strongest upturn since the coronavirus/financial crisis) and the one-off slump in the US caused a stir. This slump accelerated again in April. US economic expectations fell to their lowest level since October 2008, while the tariff shock fuelled fears of a global recession.

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sentix Survey results (14-2025)

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All bearish. But is that enough?

What a week! Above all, the US customs announcement has massively shaken the stock markets and caused a crash-like downward movement. This dynamic is also very evident in the current sentix sentiment data, where we are seeing massive swings in short and medium-term expectations for US equities. But there are also significant distortions in the currency area. We are measuring another extraordinary data situation for bonds.

Further results

  • Bonds: Unexpected scepticism in US bond confidence
  • FX: Short-term exhausted
  • sentix Economic index: Monday, 7th 2025, 10.30 CEST

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