sentix Survey results (49-2019)

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Waiting for the christmas rally

The mood for equities remains extremely good. Investors are fully committed to the seasonal pattern, which is expected to produce price gains in the last 10-12 trading days. In view of the stable basic confidence, measured in the strategic bias, this can go well. But the better the last days of the old year will go, the sooner equities will have to pay tribute to investor optimism early in the new year.

Further topics:

  • Bonds: Basic trust is waning
  • FX: USD bias tips over

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sentix Survey results (48-2019)

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The sentiment is dampening the bull market

The sentiment on the US stock market is boiling over. What the sentix sentiment clearly points out is not so visible in the AAII Bull Bear Index so far. We would like to emphasize again our leading characteristic and the quality of the data series!

Further topics:

  • Equities: UK Bias with all-time high
  • Equities: Nasdaq produziert Overconfidence
  • Gold: Buy signal in Time Differential Index

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (47-2019)

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Consolidation not yet complete

Price dynamics and the mood on the stock market are closely related. Markets consolidate when sentiment is bullish and stocks are overbought. Currently, US equities show that the share of overbought stocks has already fallen from over 20% to 8%. By contrast, sentiment values are still relatively high. Only when both indicators have fallen close to the zero line is the path to the upside generally clear again.

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On the tracks of special vintages

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The stock year 2019 is a special one. With a current plus of 26.6%, it is one of the thirteen best years in the S&P 500 since 1920! What can we expect for the rest of the year?

Read the research here

Read more...

sentix Survey results (46-2019)

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Bias tight upward

The high optimism for US equities last week fell by 10 percentage points, but still remains euphoric at +22. The AAII Bull Bear Index has not yet fully replicated the sentix target. Is therefore imminent danger? A high sentiment either stands at the beginning of a strong trend impulse or at the end of an upward movement. The Strategic Bias helps with the assessment.

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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