sentix Survey results (31-2025)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 03 August 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Concerns about customs agreement for EU shares

What was already apparent for Japan and continued in the bias this week is now also becoming visible for Europe: the markets are taking a very differentiated view of the renegotiated customs deal between the US and the EU. This can be seen in the medium-term bias, which is tipping in favour of euro equities. Share sentiment also plummeted by a full 29 percentage points to -38 percentage points. A negative sentiment impulse is on the cards, especially as the seasonal pattern is currently turning negative. The situation is more constructive for US equities. Medium-term confidence is rising somewhat here.

Further results

  • Equities: US equities with a better setup
  • FX: Instis and private individuals at odds, new impetus needed
  • sentix economic index: Monday 04th August 2025 at 10:30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (30-2025)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 27 July 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equities: No euphoria, signs of fatigue in the bias

Basic confidence in the equity market is crumbling, while investors are trying to get through the hot summer months with neutral ratios (Instis) or overinvestments (private investors). In the meantime, the risks for US equities - especially for the Nasdaq - have increased significantly. The crude oil complex is also striking, with neutrality rising to its highest level since November 2019. Although investors are gaining confidence in the medium term, positioning is falling. The tension indicates a volatility impulse in black gold.

Further results

  • Crude oil: Volatility in black gold indicated
  • Japanese equities: Customs deal not a game changer
  • sentix investor positioning in equities, bonds and others assets

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sentix Survey results (29-2025)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 20 July 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Unemotional

The stock market continues to work on calming sentiment. Prices seem to have fallen asleep over the summer. Despite this, a high level of overconfidence can still be observed on the UK stock market. Precious metals are currently experiencing strong emotions. Investors see catch-up potential in gold and silver mining stocks in particular.
The consolidation in EUR/USD could soon be over. EUR/JPY is attracting attention with an increased overconfidence risk.

Further results

  • FX: Yen with high overconfidence
  • Precious metals: Hot, but good
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (28-2025)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 July 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

High Overconfidence in UK

Investors are showing great interest in small and medium-sized companies in Germany. The ongoing economic recovery is progressing dynamically (see sentix economic indices from July), so that investors are sensing catch-up potential in this segment in particular. The bias can increase here, while the blue chip indices are more likely to go into reverse. The first signs of overconfidence can be seen in the UK. Risks are also increasing on the Nasdaq. The set-up for gold, on the other hand, remains constructive. The crypto market is showing signs of euphoria.

Further results

  • Equities: The MDAX is back in fashion
  • Bonds: Weak
  • Precious metals: Gold remains interesting
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (27-2025)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 06 July 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bais goes straight up, neutrality too

The calm on the stock market is by no means transferable to current investor behaviour. Investors are highly irritated: The Super Neutrality Index for European equities remains at a challenging level and is incubating a volatility impulse. This could unload over the summer months. Investors are looking through potential summer weakness and the medium-term bias for equities is firmly to the upside. Can bonds/rising oil prices shake this confidence? What role does the US dollar play in this?

Further results:

  • Bonds: Rising oil prices could be a burden
  • Precious metals: Consolidation is coming to an end
  • sentix economic index: Monday 07th July 2025 at 10:30 CEST

Click here for the full report

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