Neuer Kompendiumsbeitrag: sentix Konjunkturindex

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Wir haben den Kompendiumsbeitrag zum sentix Konjunkturindex überarbeitet und erweitert. Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Version.

Newsletter April 2013

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With this newsletter we would like to inform you about changes in the sentix database and your sentix database service.

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New EUR-JPY data series

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The Japanese Yen has recently come back into the investor's focus. So far, sentix collects data on the expectations for the USD-JPY currency pair among institutional investors. Moreover, sentix offers a time series for the EUR-USD market for institutional and individual investors.

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Second setback in a row for the euro zone

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The composite index for the euro zone drops in April from -10.6 points to -17.3 points and stands now slightly below last December's value. While the election in Italy led to the first setback for the index in March, the Cyprus issue is, amongst others, an additional strain in April: both sub-indices, the assessment of the economic situation and the 6-month expectations drop again. Expectations are now in the neutral zone. The composite index for Germany is no longer able to keep its distance from the negative development in the euro zone, expectations drop palpably – also taking into consideration weaker assessments for Germany's export regions, especially in Asia ex Japan. The global index drops the second month in a row. 

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Cyprus and the other Euro angst

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The tiny island nation of Cyprus holds the euro zone in breathing. The impending collapse of the Mediterranean island has unsettled investors and from their perspective increases the likelihood of a breakup of the euro zone. The sentix euro break-up index, which measures that probability rises to 41.05% (19.25% for the previous month). This is the highest level since late September 2012. The survey was taken from March 22nd to March 23rd, 2013 and attended by some 1,000 investors.

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