Only three countries left with noteworthy exit probabilities

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 28 July 2014
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) further recedes in July and now stands at 7.6% after 8.5% in the previous month. This, once more, is an all-time low. Only for Greece, Cyprus and – against the backdrop of the Espírito Santo crisis – once again for Portugal investors still see noteworthy euro-exit probabilities.

sentix ASR Essentials 27-2014

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 July 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bullish signals from China

sentix data for stocks remain robust. The bullish indication for Chinese equities even offers new opportunities for rising prices. For bonds the picture looks different. The readiness to take profits is high and so is the overconfidence index. On FX markets the focus is back on USD-JPY. Here, the Strategic Bias is the supportive pillar.

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Sentiment for banks touches lowest level since Draghi’s euro commitment

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 22 July 2014
Posted in Special research

sentix Sector Sentiment for European banks falls to its lowest level since July 2012. That was when the euro-zone crisis was close to its climax and urged ECB president Draghi to famously fully commit to the euro. The extremely bad sentiment is now an opportunity for contrarian investors.

sentix ASR Essentials 26-2014

Written by Manfred Hübner | 20 July 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Geopolitics of no interests to investors

Stock markets are still not impressed by the diverse old and new stress factors. A moderately bearish sentiment and a positive and stable strategic bias reflect investors who have sorrows in the short-term but are convinced about the stock performance in the medium-term. As far as bonds are concerned high spirits dominate the markets while the extraordinary constellation for EUR-USD prevails.

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Investors turn their backs at smaller companies

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 14 July 2014
Posted in Special research

The results of the current sentix Global Investor Survey show that investors' risk appetite is waning. A very clear example here is the declining preference for stocks of smaller companies as mir-rored by the sentix Small Caps Index. This index falls in July and thus signals that more and more investors are turning their backs at smaller capitalisations – with the risk of a spill-over to the rest of the market.