Real Estate Sentiment back in decline

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Sentiment among European investors for the real estate market – one of their darlings in times of financial crisis – is back in decline. That is showing sentix Real Estate Sentiment which falls by two to now 3.75 points in November.

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Das Risiko von Glamour-Aktien

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Zum aktuellen Twitter-IPO und dem besonderen Reiz von Technologie- und Modeaktien habe ich ein Interview für das Manager Magazin Online gegeben. Im Original ist dies hier veröffentlicht worden. Da ich hier viele grundsätzliche Aussagen getroffen habe, möchte ich dieses hier für den Behavioral Finance-Blog konservieren.

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Germany hits a new high

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In November, the composite index for the euro zone rises by 3.2 to now 9.3 points. This is its highest value since May 2011, and, this month, the strongest increase among all regions. Investors have become especially upbeat concerning the economic situation. For Germany, the composite index also improves. Here, the 6-month expectations are more important for the overall improvement. They have now reached their highest reading since the beginning of the sentix survey for Germany in 2009. Of the other regions, the US and Japan make a more negative impression, the emerging-markets regions a more positive one. Overall, it is also noteworthy that institutional investors are more careful than private investors this month. Nevertheless, the composite index for the global aggregate rises for the fourth month in a row due to the good developments in the euro zone and the emerging-markets regions. 

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EBI falls to all-time low despite French puzzle

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In October, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls by 4.5 percentage points to a new all-time low since its launch in June 2012. It now stands at 14.25%. This month’s decrease is the third in a row. Only in January the index had reached a comparably low level at 17.15%. The sentix EBI indicates that it is now about one in seven investors who expects at least one country to leave the euro zone within a year's time.

The decrease of the sentix EBI takes place against the background of prevailing government negotiations in Germany which now head for a grand coalition. Furthermore, negative headlines concerning the euro zone were relatively rare over the past weeks. Rather it was the United States and their budgetary impasse which seized the attention of investors recently.

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New publication times of the sentix Euro Break-up index

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The release date for new data of the sentix euro break-up index will be changed to the next Tuesday, 0.00h a.m. MEZ, following the respective survey. This change is implemented from October 27th, 2013.

 

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