Euro breakup almost no issue anymore among investors

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The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for January falls from 25.0% to 17.2%. This is the EBI's sixth consecutive decrease and, once more, its lowest level since its inception in June 2012. Only one out of six investors now thinks that within the next twelve months at least one country will leave the euro area. The EBI had reached a high in July 2012 with 73%. The survey was conducted from January 24th to January 27th, 2013. 956 investors took part in the poll.

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Happy New Year! Euroland caught up strongly

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The composite index for Euroland shows a strong improvement in January and rises for the fifth time in a row. The rise in economic expectations is especially pronounced, rising to the highest value since February 2011. Both the assessments of the current situation and expectations of other countries and regions all point upward. The US values end comparatively weak. All in all, the beginning of the year is very strong. Thus, we celebrate both the start of the new year and the 10th birthday of the sentix economic index! 

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Euro crisis less and less important

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The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for December decreases from 32.7% to 25.0%. This is the EBI's lowest level since its inception in June 2012. Only one out of four investors now thinks that within the next twelve months at least one country will leave the euro zone. The EBI had reached a high in June 2012 with 73.3%. The current survey was conducted from December 27th to December 29th, 2012. 778 investors were polled.

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Die bessere ifo-Prognose

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Der sentix-Konjunkturindex, ein unverzichtbares Utensil im sentix-Datenkasten, hat heute schon wieder überrascht – und das, obwohl er gar nicht veröffentlicht wurde. Denn „der sentix" ist schon Anfang letzter Woche herausgekommen. Heute war das ifo-Geschäftsklima an der Reihe. Es war dieses wichtigste deutsche Konjunkturbarometer, das einmal mehr besser als (von der Mehrzahl der Analysten) gedacht ausfiel. Und ein Blick in die Details verrät: Es war die – für die Finanzmärkte besonders wichtige – Erwartungskomponente, die mit einem ordentlichen Satz für diese Verbesserung gesorgt hat. Mit einem solchen Anstieg hatte keiner der Analysten gerechnet.

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First mover up again

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The composite index for the eurozone goes up to -16.8 points from -18.8 last month. This is its fourth increase in a row. The 909 surveyed investors display almost no change in their assessment of the current situation while their 6-months-expectations improve further. With the year ending, the expectations index has reached its highest reading in 2012. Outstanding increases in the economic expectations sub-indices are registered for Germany and for Japan. It is, once more, mainly institutional investors who are behind these developments. 

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