Conditional Relief

Written by Julien Mueller | 27 March 2017
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The situation in the Eurozone significantly calms after the general elections in the Netherlands. The surprising weak turnout for the Eurosceptic Wilder party is the reason for investors to reconsider their pessimism about the union. In March, the sentix Euro break up Index eases below the 20-percentage point mark. Contagion risks, in contrast, remain high.

sentix Investmentmeinung 12-2017

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 March 2017
Posted in sentix Weekly

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Währungen im Fokus

Entgegen unserer Erwartungen zeigt der Yen keine Schwäche, im Gegenteil. Nun dreht auch der Strategische Bias deutlich – und zwar gegen US-Dollar! – und wirbelt damit so einiges durcheinander. In jedem Fall müs-sen wir dieser Entwicklung Tribut zollen und schließen die USD-JPY-Empfehlung. Im Gegenzug verbessert sich das Gold-Setup – trotz relativ hoher Sentimentwerte!

Geänderte Einschätzungen: USD-JPY, Gold

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sentix ASR Essentials 12-2017

Written by Patrick Hussy | 26 March 2017
Posted in sentix Weekly

Strong strategic bias themes evident in Equities, FX and Oil

Several strong themes have emerged from the sentix survey in terms of investors’ strategic bias. Investors appear to remain unconvinced about the medium-term outlook for global equities, with strategic bias readings declining for indices in Europe, the US and Japan. In the case of the Eurozone, this has resulted in participants’ strategic bias on bunds versus equities becoming much less negative in recent months. At the same time, survey participants have become more positive on the medium-term outlook for the euro versus the US dollar, likely helped by the Fed’s recent more ‘dovish’ rate hike than had been expected. However, expectations of a weaker dollar have done little to change investors’ medium-term bias on Crude Oil, with strategic bias readings now not far from their 2015 lows. Strong strategic bias themes are evident in survey readings on Equities, FX and Oil. See Charts p2.

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Appetite for risk is back

Written by Julien Mueller | 20 March 2017
Posted in Special research

Investors’ risk preference has reached levels last seen in 2011 and before the financial crisis 2007/08. In both cases, the sentix indicator was a warning signal for coming trouble in equity markets.

sentix Investmentmeinung 11-2017

Written by Manfred Hübner | 20 March 2017
Posted in sentix Weekly