EUR/USD – Investor sentiment at all-time low!

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The sentiment of investors towards the Euro falls to an all-time low. The sentix Global Investor Survey shows that the Euro currently faces stronger investors’ pessimism than during the height of the euro crisis. The US Dollar wins investors favour, though.

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sentix ASR Essentials 45-2015

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US Dollar optimism extreme versus Euro

The latest sentix Economic Indices, released today, revealed a further increase in the eurozone Economic Index (gaining 3.4 points to +15.1). This more upbeat assessment of the eurozone macro outlook is also colouring investors’ views of bonds. Monthly survey readings based on investors’ views on the macro outlook as a bond ‘theme’ indicate that economics is seen as having become less ‘bond bullish’ on a six month view (Chart 3, page 2). However, on other side of the Atlantic, the slide in sentiment towards US Bonds has been even more marked, with survey readings heading to the lower end of their 2012-15 range. At the same time, US rate rise expectations are bolstering dollar sentiment, with readings on EUR/USD having fallen to historic lows in the latest survey. US bond and currency  sentiment has seen some especially sizeable moves recently (Charts 3 and 4).

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Recovery is back on track

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Sentix captures a significant sentiment swing regarding global economic expectations in November. Neither signs of a seasonal depression of investors’ mood nor a November bias can be traced in the latest sentix data. With the exception of Austria, investors’ economic expectations rise for all major world regions. Of particular significance is the change of economic trend in Asia ex. Japan. Apparently, Chinese administration has been successful in restoring confidence in the potential of the Chinese economy.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 44-2015

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Rohstoffmärkte in der Positionierungsfalle

In den letzten Wochen bekundeten die Anleger eine steigende Zuversicht gegenüber den Rohstoffmärkten. Sowohl der Strategische Bias zu Öl und Gold, als auch das sentix Assetklassen-Sentiment stiegen deutlich. In der Folge war auch eine Portfolioanpassung zu beobachten. Gemessen an der Positionierung der „large speculators“ im COT-Report ist ein signifikanter Anstieg der Investitionsgrade feststellbar. Diese Entwicklung dürfte sich kurzfristig als Bürde erweisen.

Geänderte Einschätzung: Gold

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

Chinese Equities– Volatility ahead!

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Investors’ uncertainty about the Chinese equity market index CSI300 mounts to a 52 weeks high. The sentix Global Investor Survey shows that investors react paralysed to recent Chinese macroeconomic environment.

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