sentix Survey results (43-2022)

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China exasperation

Sentiment on the stock market continues to recover, as it does for bonds. After a long time, fixed-interest securities are being given greater consideration in portfolios. At the same time, the equity bias remains weak, and fundamental confidence is languishing. Surprisingly, equity quotas are being built up despite these reservations. The China complex is conspicuous: there is a clear disenchantment with China equities. Precious metals stand out positively. The currency side could help.

Further results

  • Bonds: A drumbeat on the bond market
  • Precious metals: Better times ahead
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (42-2022)

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Seasonal factors support

A month ago we took a look at the seasonality of the US equity market after the September futures drop. So far, the US market has followed this pattern. A very friendly phase should lie ahead according to this analogy. The US election cycle is heading in the same direction. From the sentix data, the outlook is not so bullish. Things look better for the bond markets.

Further results

  • Bonds: Marked buy signals
  • FX: US dollar strength should come to an end
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (41-2022)

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Sentiment rises, bias remains weak

After very poor investor sentiment and defensive portfolios at the end of September, equity markets have started to stabilise. Sentiment and portfolios are neutralising without prices rising significantly. Basic strategic confidence also remains weak. Therefore, no all-clear can be given for equities. There are interesting signals in USD-JPY and bonds.

Further results

  • Bonds: Basic confidence continues to rise
  • USD-JPY: USD risks increase strongly
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (40-2022)

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Fear subsides, Instis take courage

Following the recent record pessimism in sentiment for equities, fears of further price losses are clearly subsiding. Investors' medium-term outlook is also stabilizing at a low level in parallel, so that a bottoming out is possible. Institutional investors are sending a promising signal with their strategic bias, which is improving significantly: we are measuring the highest value since mid-March 2022.

Further results

  • Bonds: Promising
  • Gold: Convincing development
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 10th October 2022 at 10:30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (39-2022)

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All-time low in the Super Neutrality Index

One all-time extreme is currently following the next: After the record low in stock sentiment the previous week, the Super Neutrality Index for German (and European) stocks is now marking an all-time low. Never before in sentix history have there been fewer neutrals than today. Extreme values in this indicator have signal character: "almost every" investor now has an opinion. A low in the Neutrality Index indicates a massive trend exhaustion.

Further results

  • Equities: Chances increase - no zero-one decision
  • China: High Overconfidence in CSI 300
  • Gold: Bias versus positioning

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