sentix Survey results (10-2022)

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Sentiment still supports

After the very negative sentiment extreme on the stock market, prices were able to recover somewhat. Sentiment remains depressed, but this creates opportunities in line with a contrarian sentiment strategy. However, the weak development in the strategic bias weighs on the picture. Meanwhile, greater risks are also indicated for gold bulls. Here, too, there is an unfavourable development in fundamental confidence.

Further results

  • FX: Euro opportunities grow
  • Gold: Risks for the gold bulls
  • sentix Sector Sentiment: Ukraine crises with major impact

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sentix Survey results (09-2022)

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Investors in panic mode

The past week saw a significant rise in investor fears of a widening of the Ukraine conflict and major economic dislocations. We measure a multitude of all-time highs or lows in our data! At the same time, investors have also reduced their portfolio risks. Professionals are similarly cautiously positioned as they were at the time of the Corona Crash in March 2020. Will we see a similar recovery process?

Further results

  • Crude oil: Euphoria
  • Gold: Sentiment as last seen in 2011
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 07th March 2022 at 10:30 CET

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sentix Survey results (08-2022)

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Signs of life

The equity bias (here USA) sends a sign of life once again for a long time, while equity sentiment remains downbeat. At the depressed price levels, more investors are now declaring their willingness to buy stocks. The investment degrees of the institutional ones prove: The now strong underinvestment opens up clear potential for a price recovery. U.S. bonds are also showing a similar sign of life, with their bias rising significantly.

Further results

  • Equities: Signs of life
  • US-Bonds: Signs of life
  • Commodities: TD-Extreme on the top
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (07-2022)

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Sentiment buy signals

Sentiment on equities has deteriorated significantly over the week. For US equities, the number of bullish investors fell to the lowest level since 2017. This creates opportunities for contrarian investors, as statistically the S&P 500 rose significantly in around 75% of cases in subsequent weeks.

Further results

  • Gold: High sentiment weighs
  • Crude oil: Strategic confidence continues to decline
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (06-2022)

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Fear of war and medium-term concerns

Fears of war arise! Investors are increasingly worried and also look negatively into the medium-term future: The bias for the U.S. equity market falls below the zero line even among institutional investors. The last time this situation occurred was in the midst of the Corona Crash in 2020. Energy prices in particular could be affected by an outbreak of war in Ukraine. One thing is certain: High risks for the oil price are already indicated!

Further results

  • Bonds: Bonds might turn
  • Commodities: Oil price already facing high risks
  • sentix Sector Sentiment: All-time high in bank sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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