“Overconfidence Index” highlights threat to bond market

Written by Julien Mueller | 01 August 2016
Posted in Special research

The sentix Global Investor Survey points towards mounting risk for German Bunds as the sentix Overconfidence Indicator’s +9 Points for the Bund-Future flashes warning signals. Comparable overconfidence levels have preceded market moves to the downside.

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Investors prefer global equity markets

Written by Julien Mueller | 18 July 2016
Posted in Special research

The latest sentix Strategic Bias conveys a positive implication for global equities. Investors bet on further rising stock markets as confidence mounts. Albeit, the European equity markets are trailing since the Brexit referendum.

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Opportunities arise in times of trouble

Written by Julien Mueller | 11 July 2016
Posted in Special research

The European banking crisis worsens in the wake of the Brexit referendum. The sentix Sector Sentiment marks a new all-time-low. However, investors’ impression has reached such an extreme negative value that it could represent a contrarian buy opportunity.

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The calm before the trend

Written by Julien Mueller | 20 June 2016
Posted in Special research

Investors’ uncertainty about the Chinese equity market rises to the highest level since November 2015. The sentix time series reveals that comparable neutrality levels were usually a leading indicator for a new market trend.

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Fear feels different

Written by Julien Mueller | 13 June 2016
Posted in Special research

“Brexit” polls heavily influence investors’ opinion on European equities. The latest surge in popularity of the “leave” camp accompanied by falling stock prices dampens the mood. Market participants should brace for further falling stock prices as the referendum approaches. Investors’ sentiment has yet to reach negative extreme value.

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