US-Präsidenten und ihr Einfluss auf die Märkte

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Wir haben eine Ergänzung zu unserem Jahresausblick 2017 verfasst. Diese untersucht den Zusammenhang von Kapitalmarkttrends und Amtszeiten von US-Präsidenten.

Klicken Sie hier um die Analyse abzurufen (sentix Jahresausblick 2017-Lizenz erforderlich)

Klicken Sie hier, um den Jahresausblick 2017 (inkl. Ergänzung) zu erwerben

False hope

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For the first time since the US election, the sentix Sentiment for the precious metal gold turns positive. The rapid built up of positive attitude, however, is counterproductive for further price increases.

Ice Age for the Euro

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The sentix Sentiment for the Euro US-Dollar exchange rate plunges to an all-time low. The diverging monetary policies of the Fed and the ECB wreak havoc not only on the Euro exchange rate but also on investors’ sentiment. Market participants should brace for further Euro weakness.

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European bank stocks are en vogue again

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The sentix Sector Sentiment for European bank stocks hits the highest value since January 2014. Investors’ perception inverted by 180 degrees within only a few months. At least in the short-run, the steady rate of bullish conversion strains further outperformance.

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Déjà-vu

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sentix Sentiment for the German equity market scores new record high. Investors celebrate previous week’s stock market gains. The latest sentiment frenzy represents a short-term contrarian sell signal – a similar set-up as last year.

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