Investors in the oil market view the downtrend to continue

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Since early May, oil prices have come under pressure again. Meanwhile, the lows from the beginning of the year have been reached again. This has not only pushed the sentiment to a bearish extreme but now also means that investors tend to extrapolate the negative trend. The sentix Overconfidence Index indicates this. This could support the oil prices in the short term.

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Sentiment for gold at low point

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sentix Sentiment for gold falls to a new all-time low. Never before since the start of the survey in 2006 was the mood among investors thus as bad as at the moment. In the past, such extreme situations were precursors of price reversals at the bottom. But we may have to wait still some time before such a reversal occurs.

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Commodities sentiment at record low!

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sentix Commodities Sentiment collapses in July and reaches a new all-time low. The past has shown that when such a strong fall of the indicator occurs it is not wise to buy the market anti-cyclically. The time for contrarians will come when confidence returns.

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China effect hits automobile sector

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In July, sentix Sector Sentiment for Europe’s automobile stocks falls more strongly than for any other sector. It is the sorrows concerning a fading demand from China, spurred by the latest market turbulences, which can be felt here. But the positive trend in automobile stocks is still not to be put into question.

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Gold does not benefit from the Greek crisis

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Investors’ basic conviction for gold is fading. This is mirrored by the sentix Strategic Bias for the yellow metal which con-tinues to fall although the Greek crisis and a favourable seasonal pattern should lend support. Rather do investors expect US yields to rise, though, and, at the same time, they lose their inflation fantasies. Both goes against higher gold prices.

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