Desperate investors: long-term bonds as popular as never before

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Record-low yields drive investors into ever longer maturities of German government bonds. This situation is mirrored by the sentix Curve Preference Index: While investors’ dislike of mid-term bonds has reached a new extreme, market participants now find bonds with maturities of more than 10 years as attractive as never before – although their yields have touched new all-time lows, too. This shows how desperate bond investors’ are in the current low-yield environment.

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Confidence in the euro rises

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Confidence in the euro rises strongly. This is shown by the increase in the sentix Strategic Bias for the EUR-USD currency pair, one outstanding result of the latest sentix Global Investor Survey. The index reaches its highest reading since November 2013. At the same time, more and more investors (now 39%) expect Greece to leave the euro. The consequent attitude of the European partners towards the new Greek government has thus served as a support for the common currency.

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Automobile stocks in the fast lane

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sentix Sector Sentiment for European automobile stocks rises strongly in February and reaches an all-time high. For no other sector investors are equally bullish at the current juncture. As perspectives brighten against the backdrop of a number of positive chart signals we rate the strong development in sentiment as a kick-start signal rather than a contrarian indication.

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Dividend is the new interest

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While interest rates continue their fall, the trend that investors buy stocks because of their dividend payments is getting stronger. In January, the sentix index which measures these investor preferences reaches a new extreme. Dividends thus become in an increasingly pronounced manner a substitute for interest rates.

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Investors extremely pessimistic for energy shares

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While the feebleness of oil prices continues, sentix Sector Sentiment for European energy shares falls again to an all-time low. Taken face value, this is a positive sign for the future performance of the sector's stocks. But it does not look as if energy shares could reach more than a temporary stabilisation in the coming weeks – their current price behaviour is just too weak.

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