Trump no longer the political nightmare

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The latest sentix policy barometer reveals that investors no longer see the person of the US president as a burden on capital market development. The partial agreement in the trade dispute has also contributed to this.

Since the beginning of 2017, sentix has been regularly surveying investors' assessments of political issues. Since his election at the end of 2016, the US president has been the subject of fierce political controversy, which is why the atti-tude of investors towards Trump is measured in a partial index. The focus is not on the political assessment in the sense of approval or rejection of his policies or person, but rather on whether he exerts a positive or negative influ-ence on the capital market through his policies or person.

sentix policy barometer - Overall Index and sub-index "Trump”

sentix policy barometer - Overall Index and sub-index "Trump”

The values have been climbing significantly since summer and for the first time we are now measuring a predominant-ly positive impact. The partial agreement in the trade dispute with China may have contributed to this. However, this development could also reflect the fact that re-election - which has become more likely as a result of the end of the impeachment proceedings against Trump - is viewed rather positively by investors.

Across all sub-indices, however, politics remains a burdening factor, largely due to geopolitics. All other sub-indices are only slightly negative.

Background

The sentix policy barometer is conducted monthly in the second week of the month. It is intended to show whether and which policy issues from the investor's point of view are decisive for the capital market developments. In addition, we looked at the policy of the current US administration precisely from the current occasion.

Around 1,000 private and institutional investors participated in the current survey, which was conducted from 13th to 15th February 2020.

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