sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

New (global) hope

The October data from the sentix economic index paints a surprisingly positive picture of the international economy. Across all regions, the more than 1,100 professional and private investors surveyed reflect an improvement in the situation and expectations. This is particularly surprising given the shutdown that has begun in the United States. Mixed signals are also coming from the eurozone. Germany in particular continues to face strong headwinds, as reflected in the real data. Investors appear to have overreacted somewhat pessimistically in September. However, the Asian region is also making an increasingly positive impression.

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The next blow for the eurozone

The new September data from the sentix economic index dashes hopes of an economic recovery. The overall value for the eurozone slipped by 5.5 points to -9.2. Both the current situation and future expectations are dete-riorating noticeably. This means that economic concerns are returning in full force. In Germany in particular, the downward trend is intensifying once again. The overall index lost 9.4 points and fell to -22.1 points there. There can therefore be no talk of a sustained improvement in sentiment in the largest economy in the eurozone. There are now also clear signs of a slowdown in the USA. Expectations have fallen to -10.8 points, while the current sit-uation is also showing signs of erosion at -0.3 points. The Asia region, including Japan, is currently proving to be a stabilising factor in the global picture. The data here remains comparatively robust and is making a decisive con-tribution to maintaining the pace of global economic growth for the time being.

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A deal that dampens the mood

Investors are not impressed by the EU's latest tariff deal with the US. With its August data, the sentix economic index is the first to assess this agreement and provide a global overview of sentiment. In addition to the EU, new results are also available for other countries, including Japan and Switzerland. The negative factors clearly out-weigh the positive ones for the global economy. The EU and Switzerland are being punished severely. The US and Donald Trump may feel like winners in the short term, but falling expectations here too indicate that this type of trade policy will mainly produce losers.

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Upswing gains breadth - third increase in a row

The overall index for the eurozone rose by +4.4 points in July, reaching its highest level since February 2022 at +4.5 points. All subcomponents increased for the third time in a row. Current assessment scores in particular are now rising. A similarly positive trend can be seen for Germany. Expectations increased by +2.30 points to +19.8 points. This is also the third increase in a row. The current situation assessment has even risen for the fifth time in a row (+8.0 points), reducing the current minus in the index to -18.8 points. Overall, the global upturn is gaining in breadth. The US economy in particular is making up ground. After the weak previous months, the US economy showed the greatest growth in July. The regions of Japan and Asia ex Japan are also providing growth impetus.

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The German economy is gearing up

There are signs of an upturn for the economy in the eurozone and Germany in June. The overall index for Euroland climbed by 8.3 points to +0.2 points. The increase of +10.5 points in the expected values in particular gives cause for hope. Euroland is benefiting from a recovery in Germany. The increase in the sentix economic indices is even stronger there. Expectations rose by +12.0 points to +17.5 points, while the assessment of the current situation rose for the fourth time in a row. The overall index for Germany is at its highest level since March 2022! The shock is also slowly subsiding in the USA: The current situation assessment for the US economy in particular is rising sharply. Overall, the global economy is breathing a sigh of relief, even if the negative impetus following the US tariff shock has not yet been fully absorbed globally.

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