sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Crisis in Germany remains stubborn

The sentix economic index for the eurozone rises by +2.9 points to -12.9 points in February, the fourth consecutive increase. Nevertheless, the recovery process remains sluggish. This is mainly due to Germany. The current assessment there fell to -39.3 points, while expectations recovered only sluggishly by 2.3 points. With the expectations component still at -14.0 points, the recession theme therefore remains. Internationally, there are increasing signs of recovery. The US region in particular is scoring well, with the overall index rising by 5.9 points to 12.1 points. Asia also continues to impress. The Asia ex Japan (China) region and Japan itself continue to try to develop economic momentum. As a result, the sentix Global Aggregate climbs to its highest level since February 2022.


Germany still in crisis

The sentix Economic Indicator for January shows the third consecutive improvement in the overall index for the eurozone. Situation and expectation values both rise by 1 point. And yet this is unlikely to be a turnaround. This is partly due to Germany, whose economy is still in recession and therefore in crisis. Internationally, there is positive news from Asia and Latin America. However, it is questionable whether this will be enough to reverse the global trend. This is because a new problem is on the horizon with regard to inflation and therefore central bank policy.


Trend reversal or not - that is the question!

In many regions, we are measuring the third consecutive improvement in economic expectations and / or the overall index for the economy. For example, the economic expectations for the eurozone. At 0.2 points, however, the increase is very moderate. However, as the situation values also improved slightly, the question arises as to whether we can speak of a trend reversal. Internationally, the picture is the same: moderate improvements, but no real sign of an upturn. US stocks remain robust, but are equally unconvincing. There is a little hope in the Eastern European region.


Small ray of hope, but no all-clear

The November data provides some hope: the economic index for the eurozone rises by 3.4 points to -18.6 points. Economic expectations in particular are surprising with an increase of 6.8 points. A similar trend can be seen for Germany. While the current assessment remains in recessionary territory, expectations are recovering even more dynamically. There are also small rays of hope in the international data. Economic expectations are rising almost everywhere, with the situation figures in the USA even showing an exclamation mark. Despite these glimmers of hope, the issue of stagnation is not yet off the table.


Not weaker, not better

The global economy is still in a difficult situation at the beginning of autumn in the northern hemisphere. In the Eurozone, and especially in Germany, the economic situation remains weak and the recessionary tendencies persist. At least there is a slight ray of hope in the form of rising expectations. However, it would be premature to declare a turnaround. If we look further into other regions, we see a largely unchanged picture. Cooling tendencies dominate. A positive trend reversal is nowhere to be found here either.


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