sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

The euro zone leaves its crisis behind

The composite index for the euro zone rises by 3.9 to 11.9 points in January. This increase is the strongest of a composite index in January among all surveyed countries and regions. It is also noteworthy that the assessment of the current situation for the euro zone improves markedly and has now entered neutral territory. That means that at the start of 2014 Euroland finally leaves its crisis behind it. Looking at other countries and regions, the composite index for Germany – which celebrates its fifth anniversary this month – rises slightly from 32.1 to 32.4 points. Germany thus remains the growth engine for the euro zone. The generally positive picture at the beginning of the year is only blurred by the figures for Asia ex Japan. Nevertheless, the composite index for the global aggregate increases for the sixth month in a row. 

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Germany takes off, the euro zone a breather

The composite index for the euro area drops in December from 9.3 to 8.0 points. The reason for this is a slightly clouded perception of the economic situation. Investors' expectations rise, however, to their highest reading since April 2006!  Germany once more defies the development of the euro zone aggregate. The composite index for Germany rises by around two to now 32.1 points and, with that, to its highest reading in three years. Expectations climb, as they did already last month, to a new all-time high. This month's winner, however, is the US. Here, the composite index increases by over 10 points. This, in turn, drives the composite index for the global aggregate, which rises for the fifth consecutive month and has now reached a level last seen in April 2011.

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Germany hits a new high

In November, the composite index for the euro zone rises by 3.2 to now 9.3 points. This is its highest value since May 2011, and, this month, the strongest increase among all regions. Investors have become especially upbeat concerning the economic situation. For Germany, the composite index also improves. Here, the 6-month expectations are more important for the overall improvement. They have now reached their highest reading since the beginning of the sentix survey for Germany in 2009. Of the other regions, the US and Japan make a more negative impression, the emerging-markets regions a more positive one. Overall, it is also noteworthy that institutional investors are more careful than private investors this month. Nevertheless, the composite index for the global aggregate rises for the fourth month in a row due to the good developments in the euro zone and the emerging-markets regions. 

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USA weak, euro zone robust

In October, the composite index for the euro zone drops slightly. This move by -0.4 down to 6.1 points is to be seen as a stabilisation, given the enormous rise of the past month. Meanwhile, the composite index for the US takes a nose-dive. Here, both the current assessment of the economic situation as well as the 6-month expectations of the surveyed investors take strong hits from the budget crisis. But the US remain the only problem child this month. The composite indices for the emerging-markets regions rise strongly. For Japan, optimism also continues to go up. As a result, the composite index for the global aggregate is able to gain ground for the third consecutive month and increases to a reading last seen in February.

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Explosive coup for the Euro Zone

The composite (overall) index for Euroland rises in September by 11.3 to now +6.5 points. This is the second-strongest rise of the indicator since its inception in 2003. The index also manages to reach positive territory for the first time since July 2011. Both the assessment of the current situation as well as the 6-month expectations improve strongly. For Germany, the composite index jumps upward, too. It now reaches its highest reading since April 2011 and signals a clearly strengthening economy. The other countries and regions prove stable in September. For the emerging markets regions there is a tendency for improvement, again. The index for the global aggregate rises to its highest value since March of this year. 

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