sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Germany hits a new high

In November, the composite index for the euro zone rises by 3.2 to now 9.3 points. This is its highest value since May 2011, and, this month, the strongest increase among all regions. Investors have become especially upbeat concerning the economic situation. For Germany, the composite index also improves. Here, the 6-month expectations are more important for the overall improvement. They have now reached their highest reading since the beginning of the sentix survey for Germany in 2009. Of the other regions, the US and Japan make a more negative impression, the emerging-markets regions a more positive one. Overall, it is also noteworthy that institutional investors are more careful than private investors this month. Nevertheless, the composite index for the global aggregate rises for the fourth month in a row due to the good developments in the euro zone and the emerging-markets regions. 

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USA weak, euro zone robust

In October, the composite index for the euro zone drops slightly. This move by -0.4 down to 6.1 points is to be seen as a stabilisation, given the enormous rise of the past month. Meanwhile, the composite index for the US takes a nose-dive. Here, both the current assessment of the economic situation as well as the 6-month expectations of the surveyed investors take strong hits from the budget crisis. But the US remain the only problem child this month. The composite indices for the emerging-markets regions rise strongly. For Japan, optimism also continues to go up. As a result, the composite index for the global aggregate is able to gain ground for the third consecutive month and increases to a reading last seen in February.

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Explosive coup for the Euro Zone

The composite (overall) index for Euroland rises in September by 11.3 to now +6.5 points. This is the second-strongest rise of the indicator since its inception in 2003. The index also manages to reach positive territory for the first time since July 2011. Both the assessment of the current situation as well as the 6-month expectations improve strongly. For Germany, the composite index jumps upward, too. It now reaches its highest reading since April 2011 and signals a clearly strengthening economy. The other countries and regions prove stable in September. For the emerging markets regions there is a tendency for improvement, again. The index for the global aggregate rises to its highest value since March of this year. 

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Die Konjunkturlokomotive nimmt Fahrt auf

There are no translations available.

Der Gesamtindex für Euroland steigt im August dynamisch um 7,70 Punkte auf nunmehr -4,9 Punkte. Getrieben von einer verbesserten Lagebeurteilung, welche um 8,25 Punkte zulegen kann, wie auch einer positiveren 6-Monats-Erwartungen, die mit einem Plus von 7,00 Punkten aufwartet, legen alle Teilbereiche zu. Das Niveau spiegelt den zweithöchsten Stand in 2013 wider (Februar 2013 bei -3,9 Punkte). In das Konzert der guten Nachrichten reihen sich auch die Länder Deutschland, Japan und die USA ein, welche sich über die letzten Monate bereits positiv präsentiert hatten. Erfreulich ist, dass nun alle Weltregionen von einem Anstieg profitieren können. Insbesondere die Emerging Markets stoppen ihren Negativ-Trend der Vormonate. Der Index für das globale Aggregat steigt auf ein Fünf-Monatshoch.

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Euro zone is marking time

The composite index for the euro zone drops by one point to now -12.6 in July. The index is currently marking time. This is mainly caused by the assessment of the current situation which has made no headway for the past months. Investors' expectations remain above average, institutional investors are even becoming more optimistic. For Germany, the US and Japan, the composite indices rise significantly. Here, investors are extremely positively predisposed towards the economy. However, in the emerging markets regions, composite indices fall strongly, with the assessments of the current situation as a special burden. The index for the global aggregate therefore also declines in July.

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