sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Further improved expectations signal trend reversal

The composite index for Euroland rises in October for the second time in a row. Once again, the positive development in expectations is the supporting pillar for the improvement in the composite index. Expectations have even risen for a third time in a row, signaling a trend reversal. This pattern can also be found in the Global Index. For Germany, we find a special phenomenon: the doubters are currently the institutional investors, beforehand, they were to be found amongst private investors.

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Die wohlkonditionierte EZB-Bazooka betört die Anleger

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Was sich letzten Monat bereits andeutete, hat sich nun bestätigt: Die Konjunkturerwartungen für Euroland drehen nach oben. Im September war die Aufwärtsbewegung aber deutlich stärker. Auch verbessern sich jetzt die Konjunkturerwartungen für alle übrigen von sentix erhobenen Länder und Regionen und lassen sogar die Gesamtindizes mit Ausnahme Japans überall steigen. Zu verdanken ist dies wohl vor allem der Europäischen Zentralbank und ihren konkretisierten Plänen zur Rettung des Euros. 

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Draghi turns around expectations

While the headline indices of all regions dropped last month, August brings us a slight change to the positive especially in the realm of expectations. In the global aggregate, 6-months expectations improve slightly due to index movements for the Emerging Markets and Euroland. With his energetic appearances, the President of the ECB, Mario Draghi, is the main driver of this development.

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The Euroland-Virus has infected the globe

The development we could already foresee in the sentix data of April / May has now come to fruition. The economic weakness in Euroland is infecting the globe. All total indices for the 6 most important world regions have dropped, especially the US economy. Germany suffers the most.

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Euro area turning into a global problem

The recession in Euroland is deepening. The sentix total index for the Euroland-economy has dropped for the third time in a row and has hit the lowest value since May 2009 at -28.9! Situational and  expectational values are equally affected. The development in Euroland is affecting the previous growth motors more and more negatively. Germany, the USA and the global index all drop clearly. This should now challenge the central banks. Low inflation expectations open space for this.

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