Market psychology

Market psychology

The power of emotions

The power of emotions affect prices and trends in the markets.

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Euro Break-up Index

Euro Break-up Index

Will the Euro break-up?

What's the risk that the Euro breaks up? Which country is the most exposed? Whats the routes of infection?

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sentix Community

sentix Community

Take part in our surveys!

Join the sentix Global Investor Survey and improve your trading results!

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First mover advantage

First mover advantage

Be the earliest bird in town...

Know what more than 5,000 investors expecting worldwide - almost in real time.

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Sentiment research

Sentiment research

Professionally and accurately!

Weekly analysis of current market sentiment in German and English - for active participants free of charge!

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Broad spectrum

Broad spectrum

Indicators on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities

Sentiment on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities - from institutional and private investors!

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Bitter setback

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The recent recovery of the European economy has come to an abrupt end. After eight consecutive improvements, the sentix economic index for the eurozone fell by a whopping 7.6 points in July. Expectations slumped by 8.5 points to 1.5 points. The moderate economic momentum in Germany is also faltering again. The positive mood due to the European Football Championship 2024 is not spilling over into the economy. The already gloomy assessment of the situation deteriorated to -32.3 points, while expectations fell to -4.8 points below the April value. The French elections are contributing to the growing concern, as is the increasing slowdown in the US economy. The overall index for the US fell for the third time in a row to its lowest value since January 2024. Expectations are now also negative there at -2.5 points.

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sentix Survey results (27-2024)

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US equity market risks on the rise

The US equity markets continue to move from high to high. This is having a clear impact on stock market sentiment. In conjunction with the overbought market situation, the sentix risk radar is signalling a noticeable increase in risks. Seasonally, we are approaching the usually more volatile summer period. It seems that investors need to prepare for an end to the one-way stock market.

Further results

  • Equity volatility: The summer weeks bring movement
  • FX: Movement in the sentix indices
  • sentix economic indices: Monday, 08.07.24, 10.30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (26-2024)

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Highest value in US bias since October 2021

Investors are ending the past week with confidence in equities. US equities in particular, but also eurozone equities, are viewed more favourably in the medium term. Sentiment, on the other hand, is largely neutral. It is clear that the upcoming elections have so far caused investors little concern. The currency track paints a different picture. For China's stock market, the question marks are increasing, while precious metals are providing a solid setup.

Further results

  • USD/JPY: Renewed overconfidence signal
  • Gold mining stocks: Solid setup
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (25-2024)

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Professionals and private investors on different paths

The current market trend is confusing investors. The situation in the eurozone is inspiring the professionals and giving them a clearly positive outlook for the future. For the US stock market, on the other hand, short-term irritation is increasing. Bonds and precious metals are showing a clear increase in confidence. The same applies to crude oil. Here, the discrepancy with investor positioning is considerable.

Further results

  • Silver: Gaining confidence
  • Crude oil: positive risk
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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Upswing without momentum - 8th rise in a row

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The sentix economic index for the eurozone continued its recovery trend in June: however, the recovery is only proceeding slowly in triple steps. With the eighth increase in a row, the overall index has only just reached the zero line. Nevertheless, at +0.3 points, it is no longer negative for the first time since February 2022. However, the situation values remain in negative territory despite the increase (-9.0 points), while the expectations component rose by 2.2 points to +10.0 points. This means that the Eurozone has significantly better economic momentum than the USA. Although the current situation there is still considered to be extremely good at +28.3 points, the 6-month expectations have fallen slightly and are only showing a small increase (+2.3 points). Nevertheless, the level of expansion is likely to be maintained overall. Internationally, the "Asia ex-Japan" region is still convincing. The expectations component there has risen for the eighth time in a row to 19.5 points.

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