sentix ASR Essentials 29-2016

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Dollar’s grip on Gold may be loosening

Sentix survey participants are becoming more upbeat on equities from a medium- term strategic perspective, with readings on Eurozone markets retracing recent setbacks and the upturn in opinion on the US and Asian markets continuing apace. An increasingly positive strategic bias towards Chinese equities and emerging markets more generally is consistent with the improved tone of sentiment towards commodities. In the case of Gold, investors’ positive view on the metal from a medium-term strategic perspective has moderated in recent months, but survey readings are still elevated in the context of recent years. This is despite investors’ increasingly US dollar-bullish strategic bias on EUR/USD and USD/JPY. It may be that the dollar’s grip on Gold sentiment is loosening. See charts 3-4, p2).

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sentix Investmentmeinung 28-2016

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Sentimentimpulse, nur nicht in Euroland

Die Anleger sind wählerisch, wenn es um die regionale Auswahl von Aktien geht. „USA und Asien hui, Euroland pfui“, so könnte man meinen! Neue Allzeithochs in den US-Aktienindizes stimulieren die Anleger genauso wie die Überzeugung, dass es in Japan und in China besser wird. Der Strategische Bias für diese bevorzugten Anlageregionen erreicht ein neues 52-Wochenhoch und lässt die Ängste um die Brexit-Wirren in Vergessenheit geraten. Die heimischen Märkte hinken hinterher...

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

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sentix ASR Essentials 28-2016

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Scepticism about German Bunds increases

Risk seeking celebrates a comeback! Not only the sentix Styles indices but also this week’s investor sentiment indicates a jump in investors’ risk appetite. Simultaneous demand for dividend bearing issues continues rising – particularly for those with global exposure. In contrast, this week’s strategic voting signalises growing respect for bond markets. Investors show no sign of fear so far. For gold, investors’ sentiment cools down. The strategic outlook, however, remains un-changed.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 27-2016

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S&P Alltime High und JPY-Abschächung

Seit dem Brexit-Votum suchen die Anleger eine neue mittelfristige Orientierung. Europäische Aktien stehen dabei, wie der Blick auf den Strategischen Bias zeigt, nicht im Fokus der Hoffnungen. Vielmehr verbessern sich die strategischen Erwartungen an den US- und den chinesischen Aktienmarkt. Auch der Yen könnte in den nächsten Wochen ein Umdenken erfahren, zumindest deutet darauf der Time Differential Index für USD-JPY sowie die überverkaufte Yen-Markttechnik hin.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: US-Aktien, EUR-USD, EUR-JPY, USD-JPY und Gold

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sentix ASR Essentials 27-2016

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The quest for strategic orientation

Investors’ sentiment for equities remains neutral. The post-Brexit assessment process is still ongoing. However, investors perceive that European equities are disadvantaged over Chinese and especially US equities. Moreover, for German Bunds a sentiment divergence emerges. From a FX perspective, the strength of the Japanese Yen could subside in the coming weeks.

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