Gold sentiment at annual high

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Die Stimmung zu Gold ist so gut wie lange nicht. Das gelbe Edelmetall profitiert von Kriegsängsten rund um Nord-Korea wie auch von der anstehenden Schicksals-Wahl in Frankreich. Die Luft für weitere Kursanstiege wird damit dünn.

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Appetite for risk is back

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Investors’ risk preference has reached levels last seen in 2011 and before the financial crisis 2007/08. In both cases, the sentix indicator was a warning signal for coming trouble in equity markets.

Extreme pessimism emerges on energy stocks

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The sentix Sector Sentiment for European energy stocks has hit the lowest level since 2002. Within only a few weeks, investors’ perception has turned upside down. The latest shift in investors’ sentiment reflects the latest oil price shock. Energy stocks are not out of the woods yet due to an unfavourable oil market setup.

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Risk level on the rise for US equities

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Investors’ confidence in the US equity market suffers. The respective sentix indicator the US market continues its decline. Although investors critically review their stance on equities, stock prices keep rallying. Crash risks are lurking due to this discrepancy.

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Risks for German stock market rise as “Overconfidence” kicks in

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The latest sentix survey reveals an issue: the sentix Overconfidence Index for the German Stock Index DAX has reached a new two-year high. Hence, the indicator signalises that investors have gained an extreme conviction that the market is trending upwards. A historical comparison indicates that the market has accumulated substantial risk.

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