Fears of a euro breakup fade

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The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for October marks its sharpest fall since it was launched in June this year. The EBI decreases to 33.2 % from 51.9 % in the previous month. That means that only every third among those surveyed now thinks that one country or more will leave the euro zone within the next twelve months. In July the EBI had reached a high at 73.3 %, and has gone down since. The October survey was conducted from October 25th to October 27th among 922 investors.

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Further improved expectations signal trend reversal

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The composite index for Euroland rises in October for the second time in a row. Once again, the positive development in expectations is the supporting pillar for the improvement in the composite index. Expectations have even risen for a third time in a row, signaling a trend reversal. This pattern can also be found in the Global Index. For Germany, we find a special phenomenon: the doubters are currently the institutional investors, beforehand, they were to be found amongst private investors.

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Balance between pessimists and optimists

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The sentix Euro-Break-up Index (EBI) for September falls again markedly. This time it decreases by ten percentage points. The EBI now stands at 51.9 %. That means that only about half of those 897 investors who took part in the latest sentix survey expect at least one country to leave the euro zone within the next twelve months. The survey was conducted from September 27th to September 29th.

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Politik auf Speed

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Der Geschwindigkeitswahn an den Börsen entfacht die Regulierungswut unserer Politiker. Wie so oft bei ähnlich gelagerten Fällen ist die Absicht ehrenwert, dass Ergebnis aber absehbar zweifelhaft. Die Suche nach den Schuldigen wird nicht gründlich geführt. Denn das eigentliche Problem sind die Börsen selbst!

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sentix Konjunkturindex: More than a first mover

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In der KnowHow Sektion haben wir eine Analyse des sentix Konjunkturindex als Frühindikator für die europäische Konjunktur und zu den Vorlaufeigenschaften gegenüber dem ZEW Index eingestellt.

Sie finden die ZEW-sentix-Vergleichsanalyse hier.

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