sentix Survey results (19-2018)

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Cheers at the oil market

On the European stock markets, overconfidence signals are mating with new lows in strategic bias. The negative mix is reinforced by extreme values in the time difference indices. Conversely, US bonds are benefiting investors. Here, the basic medium-term confidence increases. Emotions are also high on the oil market. Low neutrality index values and high optimism continue to indicate a high risk situation.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 18-2018

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Fokus auf US-Bonds

Die besondere Bewegung an den Finanzmärkten findet derzeit bei EUR-USD statt. Seit Wochen haben wir auf diese Reaktion gewartet, nun scheint mit dem Break der 1,20 eine Trendwende vollzogen. Oft-mals gehen mit neuen Trends im US-Dollar auch andere größere Kapitalmarktbewegungen einher. Rückkopplungen könnte es in jedem Fall zu den Anleihenmärkten geben.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: CSI 300, Bund-Future, US-Treasury Future, Rohöl

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Uncertainties over world trade

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Are they coming or not, the U.S. punitive tariffs? The decision has not yet been made and it is therefore not surprising that the sentix economic indices hardly changed in May. Nevertheless, the sentix economic index for the euro zone fell slightly for the fourth month in succession to 19.2 points. This trend also determines the global picture. We are only measuring slight improvements for the USA and Asia ex Japan. Investors are obviously hoping for a positive outcome to the bilateral trade talks between the two nations.

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sentix Survey results (18-2018)

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Neutrality unloads at EUR/USD

An "emotionless" week is behind us: the sentiment values have hardly moved across almost all markets. This is astonishing, especially as some stock markets have been friendly and bond prices have also risen. This leads to first warning signals of overconfidence in selected markets. On the currency side, however, there is some movement. With EUR/USD, the high neutrality of the previous weeks is now being unloaded.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 17-2018

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Italienische Aktien im Frühsommer

Italienische Aktien sind in diesem Jahr die Überflieger in Europa. Weder die Hängepartie in Sachen Re-gierungsbildung nach den Parlamentswahlen, noch die nachlassende konjunkturelle Dynamik konnten daran etwas ändern. Vor allem die Stärke des Bondmarktes, der von einer Reduzierung der Spreads zu Bundesanleihen profitiert, stützt das Anlageklima südlich der Alpen. Bleibt dies so?

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Keine

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

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