sentix Survey results (27-2021)

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Something does not fit together

Bond prices seem stable. In the background, however, basic strategic confidence has plummeted and positioning, conversely, is far too high. These developments do not fit together, especially as the latest economic figures are adding fuel to the fire. The latest July data from the "first mover" point the way. Speaking of oil, the risk factors for black gold are rising again. The situation is much more relaxed for precious metals.

Further results:

  • Equities: China as a disruptive factor
  • Crude oil: Risk radar with negative signal
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 05th July 2021 at 10:30 AM CET

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sentix Survey results (26-2021)

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Bears lose patience

Offensively oriented equity portfolios meet extremely high neutrality. This is likely to lead to greater volatility in the coming weeks! In addition, the bears are slowly losing patience, the correction in equities just won't come. So something is brewing! Risks are also increasing in crude oil: The Overconfidence Index is the first warning signal.

Further results:

  • Equities: Super-Neutrality with new all-time high
  • Crude oil: High overconfidence
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (25-2021)

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Weak post-future expiry week likely

The June futures expiry is usually very important in the stock markets. Investors take stock of the first half of the year and are called upon to position themselves for the second half of the year and - even more important - for the often volatile summer months. The week after expiry is usually accompanied by price weakness before a final phase of strength until the end of July. Sentiment data does not necessarily contradict this course, with volatility casting its shadow ahead.

Further results:

  • Equities: Professionals lose basic confidence
  • Gold: First stabilisation, then upswing again
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (24-2021)

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No summer rally in sight

The markets remain emotionless and careless. The measured overconfidence levels for European equities call for caution, and investors are successively closing their vola-short positions in the United States. The positioning behaviour on the US bond market is striking: bias and positioning go separate ways. No all-clear can be given for bitcoins either. On the other hand, precious metals remain solidly supported.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Positioning and US bias go separate ways
  • Gold: Still solid
  • sentix Sector Sentiment: Holiday feelings

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Current situation gains momentum

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The economic catch-up process continues and above all the situation is now assessed much better than four weeks ago. No wonder, since more and more restrictions are being lifted in Europe after the Corona case num-bers declined significantly. In Euroland, the situation index rises by 15 points to 21.3. This is the highest value since November 2018. The same can be observed for all other world regions. We also measure further increases in the sentix indices in Latin America and Eastern Europe, where economic activity has been subdued so far.

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