The recession begins

Written by Manfred Hübner | 03 April 2022
Posted in sentix Economic News

When it comes to the question of when the recession began in the Eurozone, economists are likely to determine the beginning of the second quarter of 2022 as the start of a recession in retrospect. This is at least the conclusion we have to draw from the current data of the sentix business cycle indices. At the beginning of April, the sentix economic indices collapse. The overall index plunged again by a full 11 points after the weak March value. Both the situation and the expectations indexes are now negative, and the economy is thus beginning to shrink. At the moment, no other global region can provide a real counterbalance. Even the Asian region is already stagnating.

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sentix Survey results (12-2022)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 27 March 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Weak bias is a problem

The strategic bias for equities in the eurozone has fallen to its lowest level since July 2020, with investors interpreting the price recovery in the indices as an opportunity to reduce their positions. As pessimism in sentiment has given way at the same time, price risks are emerging on the stock market. The situation is reversed on the U.S. bond market, where countercyclical buy signals are increasingly appearing. Crude oil prices could fall and thus provide relief for inflation fears.

Further results

• US-Bonds: Buying opportunity displayed
• Commodities: Crude oil ticked off
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (11-2022)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 20 March 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Investor irritation increases

Early start or false start? That is the question currently being asked of Euroland equities, because the strength of stocks before the March futures expiry on Friday is unusual. Usually, stocks rise after the expiry into the "strong" April month. It is unlikely to be that easy in 2022. For just as unusual as the seasonal pattern is the sentix data situation at present. The signs point to continued unrest.

Further results

• FX: Euro recovery likely to be weak
• Precious metals: Consolidation continues
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (10-2022)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 13 March 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment still supports

After the very negative sentiment extreme on the stock market, prices were able to recover somewhat. Sentiment remains depressed, but this creates opportunities in line with a contrarian sentiment strategy. However, the weak development in the strategic bias weighs on the picture. Meanwhile, greater risks are also indicated for gold bulls. Here, too, there is an unfavourable development in fundamental confidence.

Further results

• FX: Euro opportunities grow
• Gold: Risks for the gold bulls
• sentix Sector Sentiment: Ukraine crises with major impact

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Indicator Compendium also in English

Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 March 2022
Posted in Database news

Our Indicator Compendium has been expanded in parts and all parts are now also available in English.

Access the English version