sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Signs of fatigue following the US mid-term elections

Whilst the economy in the eurozone remains stagnant, there are at least signs of a slight economic recovery in Germany – albeit in tiny steps. Across the Atlantic, however, the picture is becoming gloomier: as an initial reac-tion to the recent mid-term elections, investors are anticipating an economic slowdown in the US. It is precisely this decline in economic expectations that points to a loss of the positive momentum seen recently. In Japan, too, the economy is losing momentum. Overall, this adds to the mounting evidence of a global slowdown in growth. The sentix Global Aggregate fell in November for the third month running, reflecting increasing signs of fatigue in the global economy.

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Global economy has so far defied rising interest rates

The assessment of the global aggregate in the sentix Economic Sentiment Index rose once again in October 2026. This sixth consecutive rise, taking the index to 16.8 points, marks the highest level since February 2022. This is a surprising finding against the backdrop of rising global interest rates, but is largely attributable to the US econo-my and the Asian region. The eurozone, by contrast, continues to struggle to achieve an upturn. So far, only stabi-lisation has been achieved in Germany and the eurozone as a whole. This is because expectations have suffered a distinctly noticeable setback. The eurozone composite index has therefore fallen by 2.4 points.

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Germany is picking up speed

According to the sentix economic indices, the German economy is in surprisingly good shape at the start of Sep-tember. The business climate index has risen by a substantial 11.5 points to its highest level since May 2023. The eurozone is also benefiting from the recovery of the eurozone’s largest economy. The sentix Overall Economic Index stands at +5.1 points, its highest level since February 2022. That’s the fifth consecutive rise! Eastern Eu-rope is also showing signs of recovery. Here too, the Overall Index has risen for the fifth time in a row.

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Ascent number 4

The sentix Economic Sentiment Index for the eurozone continued its recovery in August. With its fourth consecutive rise, the overall index improved by 4.0 points to +0.9 points, returning to positive territory. The assessment of the current situation, in particular, rose sharply, whilst expectations rose only slightly to +10.3 points. Germany, too, is showing further progress. Economic expectations have risen to their highest level since February 2026. At the same time, the current situation has improved significantly, though at -28.3 points it remains clearly in negative territory. Globally, the economic outlook remains favourable. The sentix Global Aggregate rose by 1.4 points to +14.7 points, signalling a broad-based economic recovery. Almost all regions are showing growth – Japan is the only exception.

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Germany is following suit

The sentix Economic Sentiment Index is sending out a positive signal in July: the economic outlook for the euro-zone is brightening noticeably, underpinned by a marked improvement in expectations and growing investor confidence. Germany, in particular, is providing a boost, as the latest political measures appear to be building confidence and noticeably lifting sentiment. A broad-based upturn is also evident globally: all economic regions are growing, whilst the Eurozone and Germany – previously sources of pressure – are now also contributing to the recovery. This further reinforces the signs of a dynamic global economic recovery.

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