sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Ascent number 4

The sentix Economic Sentiment Index for the eurozone continued its recovery in August. With its fourth consecutive rise, the overall index improved by 4.0 points to +0.9 points, returning to positive territory. The assessment of the current situation, in particular, rose sharply, whilst expectations rose only slightly to +10.3 points. Germany, too, is showing further progress. Economic expectations have risen to their highest level since February 2026. At the same time, the current situation has improved significantly, though at -28.3 points it remains clearly in negative territory. Globally, the economic outlook remains favourable. The sentix Global Aggregate rose by 1.4 points to +14.7 points, signalling a broad-based economic recovery. Almost all regions are showing growth – Japan is the only exception.

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Germany is following suit

The sentix Economic Sentiment Index is sending out a positive signal in July: the economic outlook for the euro-zone is brightening noticeably, underpinned by a marked improvement in expectations and growing investor confidence. Germany, in particular, is providing a boost, as the latest political measures appear to be building confidence and noticeably lifting sentiment. A broad-based upturn is also evident globally: all economic regions are growing, whilst the Eurozone and Germany – previously sources of pressure – are now also contributing to the recovery. This further reinforces the signs of a dynamic global economic recovery.

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Signs of global easing

Following the sharp downturn in economic sentiment in March and April 2026, triggered by the fallout from the war in Iran and the surge in crude oil prices, the sentix economic indices are now continuing their recovery for the second month in a row. Concerns about a significant economic slowdown have thus eased noticeably. The upward trend is being driven primarily by the US and Asia, where economic prospects are brightening particularly markedly and giving the global economy fresh impetus. The eurozone is also benefiting from this positive international environment, although the recovery here is less dynamic than in the leading economic regions. Germany remains the weakest link in the chain: the persistently subdued economic performance is not only weighing on the domestic economy but is also acting as a brake on the recovery of the entire eurozone.

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Germany’s unique path

Although the war in Iran is still smouldering and an end is not yet in sight, investors appear surprisingly relaxed regarding economic trends. Asia and the US in particular are showing strong rises in their overall indices. Europe, by contrast, is struggling, although the Eurozone overall index has managed to improve by at least 2.7 points. However, the German economy is weighing heavily on the figures. The ‘German Sonderweg’ is down by 3.2 points, marking the third consecutive decline. A government crisis and economic problems are currently going hand in hand.

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The shock is followed by demolition

Immediately following the outbreak of the Iran War, initial signs of uncertainty began to emerge in the first-mover index in early March. Just four weeks later, a massive slump has now followed: the sentix Economic Sen-timent Index for April 2026 shows a significant decline. The sharp drop in expectations is weighing particularly heavily, pulling the overall index for the eurozone down considerably. Investors are increasingly recognising that the risk of another recession is coming back into focus. Germany, too, is recording clear declines, with expecta-tions at their lowest level since autumn 2024. The picture is similar globally: both established and emerging economies are under pressure, with global expectations falling to levels last seen in spring 2025.

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