A punch below the belt

Written by Manfred Hübner | 11 June 2019
Posted in sentix Economic News

As soon as the hopeful data of the sentix economic index had been published in May, the US president made a mistake in investors' calculations. At the latest since the US government prohibited US companies from doing business with the Chinese telecom supplier Huawei, it has become clear that a "cold" trade war is threatening to become a "hot" one. This development has pulled investors out of their upswing hopes and led to considerable setbacks in the sentix economic indices in all regions of the world. For the Euro zone, the overall index drops from 5.3 to -3.3 points.

sentix Survey results (23-2019)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 09 June 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

The treasure in Silver Lake

At +58 percentage points, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias for silver. Even more impressive is the rate of change compared with the previous week, which, at +25 percentage points, eclipses all historical benchmarks. This enormous power signals willingness to buy and is likely to have a significant impact on investment behaviour (see CoT Report) in the coming weeks. A build-up of significant long quotas is to be expected.

Click here for the full report

sentix Survey results (22-2019)

Written by Admin sentix | 02 June 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Angst

The already bad sentiment for US equities last week has increased again by 8 points within a week. We measure a bear surplus of -34 percentage points. We thus attest to fear among investors and are heading for an anti-cyclical buying opportunity in the S&P 500. Stock prices should rise after another week at the latest.

Click here for the full report

Bund future positioning becomes a risk factor

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 May 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Since the end of 2016, the positioning of investors has changed massively. Defensive positioning has now turned into the highest long rate since 2008 (!).

The attached analysis shows what this means for investors in the bond market.

Click here for the full report (sentix registration required)

Investors do not worry about the Euro-Zone at the moment

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 May 2019
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The current survey on the sentix Euro Break-up Index showed relaxed investors before the EU election. The overall index for the euro zone fells further to 7.96%. This is the lowest value since April 2018. The sub-index for Italy is also following this trend and is also falling by 1 percentage point.