sentix Survey results (18-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 07 May 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Weak underlying confidence leads to nervousness

Nervousness about shares is on the rise. On the surface, the poor sentiment in equities gives hope. But the real tension is between the measurable serenity in the VIX Vola Index and the high neutrality of investors, which expresses their irritation about current market events. This tension should dissipate in the coming weeks. And as is almost always the case, this will happen through rising volatilities and a directional impulse.

Further results

  • Bonds: Euroland bonds with rising fundamental confidence
  • Gold: Still positive, but signs of fatigue
  • sentix economic index: 08.05.23 at 10.30 AM CEST

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (17-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 30 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Vola ante portas

Sentiment for equities is neutral, as is positioning. Superficially, this does not result in any particular signal situation. Increasingly, investors are assuming a sideways trend, and short-term neutrality is rising massively. As a rule, this state does not last long. As soon as investors have more certainty, they jump on the next signal. Consequently, these high neutrality levels herald a vola surge.

Further results

  • Bonds: High confidence = excellent opportunities for U.S. bonds
  • Gold: Constructive breather
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (16-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 23 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Historical weakness in underlying equity confidence

In the past week, the remarkable behaviour in the Strategic Bias continues. While the prices of stocks radiate supposed stability, the basic confidence of professionals in particular in tech stocks plummets in a remarkable way. In 4 weeks, the index loses 26 percentage points. This has happened only twice before: in May 2001 and at the end of 2002. The statistical omens for equities are thus unfavourable.

Further results

  • Bonds: Confidence still on the rise
  • Precious metals: Safe haven
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (15-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 16 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Accumulated Vola Signals

Interest rate futures were again under pressure last week. But investors are not very impressed by this. The bias for the Bund is rising to the next cycle high - after all, the highest level since November 2008. Conversely, it is the stock markets whose bias is weak and weakening. Gold is not likely to continue positively until the summer, while the crypto markets could unleash their potential earlier.

Further results

  • Bonds: Willingness to buy continues to increase
  • Gold: Set for glossy period in the summer
  • sentix sector sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (14-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 09 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Easter Edition

We wish all sentix participants a happy and blessed Easter. Due to the holiday there will be a short commentary this week.

Further results

  • Equities: A rotten egg
  • Bonds: Colorful eggs
  • Gold mining stocks: Shiny eggs
  • sentix economic index: Tuesday, 11th April 2023 at 10.30 AM CEST

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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