sentix Survey results (33-2020)

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High Euro Overconfidence

Overconfidence is spreading among investors in EUR/USD! The steady rise in prices creates a feeling that there is easy money to be made. The risk radar therefore warns against a consolidation. Nevertheless, the high investor bias " Pro Euro " remains positive in the medium term. In the case of equities, medium-term basic confidence is creeping back, while in the case of bonds the path is tilting.

Further results:

  • Equities: Trust creeps back
  • Gold & Silver: The counterattack comes immediately
  • sentix Sector sentiment: Travel, no thank you

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sentix Survey results (32-2020)

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It gets hot

Not only the summer temperatures are going through the roof, but also investment themes such as gold or EUR/USD are running hot. Especially with silver we measure an extremely high overconfidence. The risks become visible in our risk radar. On the other hand, equities - despite the widely expected second wave of corona infections - are by no means risky, even though the seasonally weak phase has begun. On the positive side, the medium-term bias for equities continues to rise.

Further results:

  • Equities: Basic confidence rises
  • Bitcoins: Once again a new all-time high in bias
  • sentix economic indices: Monday 10th August 2020 at 10:30 A.M.

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sentix Survey results (31-2020)

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Lousy mood

The series of unusual sentimental developments since the outbreak of the corona crisis continues. The publication of data on GDP growth in Q2, both in the US and in Europe, has once again demonstrated to investors the extent of the crisis. The answer is a very negative sentiment. But at the strategic level, the GDP data have a very different effect. As a result, the sentiment data are surprisingly positive!

Further results:

  • Bitcoins: Confidence winner
  • Silver: Profit-taking expected

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sentix Survey results (30-2020)

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Typical seasonal pattern or nevertheless 2009?

Over the past 3 months, a chronic pessimism has developed in equities - despite a rapid stock market recovery. And on the weekend, too, the old fears flare up, especially as the seasonal pattern begins to turn negative! The question is: Can the markets even fall sustainably with such pessimism? The market must decide soon: Do we rely on the typical seasonal timetable or rather on a trend similar to 2009 ("wall of worry").

Further topics:

  • Equities: The next row of the "wall of worry" is built
  • FX: Nine-year high in EUR/USD sentiment
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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Significant increase in risk appetite

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In the last few days, the stock markets have regained momentum and extended their recovery movements, which began in mid-March at the peak of the Corona crisis. This price rally coincides with a seasonally typical positive time window, namely the first half of July. Will the upswing continue or will the usual summer correction follow?

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