sentix Survey results (06-2020)

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sentix Survey Essentials (06-2020)

Equities: The fear quickly disappeared again

The "Corona fears" have dissipated within a week. The development in the fight against the virus encourages investors that the negative consequences for the economy will be limited. Sentiment for US equities, for example, has risen by an impressive 45 percentage points. The contrary buy signal to the previous week is thus void, the market must now think about the strategic potential of stocks. The bias is slightly declining, but there is no sell-signal for US equities yet.

Further topics:

  • FX: The euro suffers a setback
  • Gold: Problematic situation
  • sentix economic index: Monday 10th Feb. 2020 /10:30AM

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Is the worst already over?

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Will the corona virus plunge the global economy into recession? Are further restrictions in everyday life to be expected in the short term? And how will governments and central banks react?

These are just some of the current uncertainties facing investors. What is the mood on the markets and how should one act now in the portfolio? This is the question we are looking into in the current "indicator in focus" issue.

Read the research here

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sentix Survey results (05-2020)

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CRAZY

The expected correction in equities is taking shape. With the spread of the virus in China and all the associated horror scenarios, sales are experiencing increasing momentum. Sentiment for equities (in this case the US) plunges into negative territory. A comparison with the US stock sentiment during the SARS spread and today reveals a high similarity. At that time, however, there was real fear in the market (-45 percentage points). This fear persisted until mid-March 2003.

Further topics:

  • Equities: Various comparisons to 2003 / SARS pandemic
  • Bonds: No value perception
  • Precious metals: Profit-taking announced

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sentix Survey results (04-2020)

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Consolidation underway

Has the overdue correction in the US equity market ended before it has really started? Because the mood has already neutralized again and at the same time the basic confidence is asserting itself surprisingly clearly. Nevertheless, we expect the consolidation trend that has begun to continue, not least because we can measure both a sentiment and a volatility divergence. This is often just as much a harbinger of a weak phase as a sentiment divergence.

Further topics:
  • Bonds: Sentiment improved, positioning increased
  • Precious metals: Hardly any air left
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (03-2020)

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Consolidation ante portas

In the previous week we emphasized the increased risks in the US equity market. In the course of the week this did not change. The overbought situation has now reached almost 30% of all shares in the S&P 500. This is a historically high level and was only outbid at the beginning of 2018. By contrast, the mood has cooled down. Is this positive and is there a negative sentiment divergence? This is what we are investigating in this sentix sentiment analysis.

Further topics:

  • FX: Further per EUR-USD
  • Precious metals: mood ok, positioning strained
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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