sentix Investmentmeinung 52-2018

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Ungewöhnliches Positionierungsverhalten zum Jahreswechsel

Der Jahresausklang 2018 an den Börsen war turbulent. Eine solch ausgeprägte Schwäche bei Aktien hatten wohl die wenigsten auf der Rechnung. Die Portfolien wurden auf Krisenmodus angepasst, die jahresend-typische Benchmark-Annäherung unterblieb. Dies dürfte den Jahresauftakt entscheidend prägen.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: DAX, Nasdaq 100, Bund-Future, US-Treasury-Future, USD/JPY

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sentix Survey results (52-2018)

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Silvester Edition

Silver and gold shine in the firmament at the end of 2018. Sentiment knocks at the upper extremes, the bias in gold still keeps pace with exuberance, so the current movement should be sustainable. Equity sentiment is also recovering slightly. Otherwise there are only slight emotional polarizations at the end of the year. This is precisely why it is worth taking a look at the unusual positioning behavior at the turn of the year.

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sentix Survey results (51-2018)

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Christmas Edition

Silent Christmas - no chance! Strong extremes of sentiment are occurring in rows on many markets and asset classes. This applies not only to stock sentiment, but also to precious metals in particular. The mood at silver marks an all-time high! Conversely, we measure a 26-week low in the sentix mood barometer for crude oil. Merry Christmas!

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sentix Investmentmeinung 50-2018

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Gerüstet für eine US-Dollar-Schwäche

Der Jahreswechsel steht an, vieles befindet sich im Umbruch. So fällt auch dieser Tage eine zunehmende Abkehr der Anleger zum US-Dollar auf. Dieser wird im dynamischen Anstieg des Strategischen Bias sichtbar und sollte die Währungsmärkte in den kommenden Monaten entscheidend prägen.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

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sentix Survey results (50-2018)

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Little refreshing

On the equity front, there is little refreshing to report. The sentiment calms down somewhat from its pessimistic previous week's values and the bias continues to indicate selling pressure. The institutional investors in particular are revising their impulsive assessment of the previous week. In addition, investors are increasingly turning away from the US dollar. Gold and bonds continue to gain in investor favor. All of them are signs of trouble on the markets.

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