Investors rely on the central banks

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Investors rely on the central banks

Even if the bond markets appear technically exhausted in the short term, they are still strongly supported thematically.

Read more here (sentix registration necessary)

sentix Survey results (23-2019)

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The treasure in Silver Lake

At +58 percentage points, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias for silver. Even more impressive is the rate of change compared with the previous week, which, at +25 percentage points, eclipses all historical benchmarks. This enormous power signals willingness to buy and is likely to have a significant impact on investment behaviour (see CoT Report) in the coming weeks. A build-up of significant long quotas is to be expected.

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sentix Survey results (22-2019)

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Angst

The already bad sentiment for US equities last week has increased again by 8 points within a week. We measure a bear surplus of -34 percentage points. We thus attest to fear among investors and are heading for an anti-cyclical buying opportunity in the S&P 500. Stock prices should rise after another week at the latest.

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Bund future positioning becomes a risk factor

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Since the end of 2016, the positioning of investors has changed massively. Defensive positioning has now turned into the highest long rate since 2008 (!).

The attached analysis shows what this means for investors in the bond market.

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sentix Survey results (21-2019)

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Highest degree of underinvestment in 2019

Sentiment for US equities is tense. The number of bulls is falling to a level that has recently marked lower turning points. The comparison of AAII and sentix shows that both data sources send the same message. The S&P 500 could therefore reach a market low in the short term.

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