sentix Survey results (33-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 20 August 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

In the middle of the process, not at the end

Sentiment for equities is plummeting dramatically. The sentiment level brings back memories of September 2022. The sentiment signal at that time marked the beginning of a major upward movement. Is the current situation comparable and is there a similarly resilient sentiment buy signal today? It is worth paying attention to similarities and differences. A worrying development is emerging for the Chinese stock market.

Further results

  • Equities: No reassessment
  • Equities: Problematic situation in China
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (32-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 August 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

EUR/USD: High neutrality pairs with further warning signals

Investors are slowly taking heart in equities and are looking positively into the fourth quarter. The bias for U.S. equities, but also for Japanese dividend stocks, is clearly upward. At the same time, short-term concerns persist. Overall, irritation remains at a high level, which could bring high volatility to the equity markets in the short term.
High neutrality is also a theme in currencies and bitcoin. Super neutrality is reaching extreme levels.

Further results

  • Equities: Bias increases, focus turns to the fourth quarter
  • Bonds: High Overconfidence of Fixed Income Bears in the U.S.
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (31-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 06 August 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Fat slump in sentiment

The surprisingly marked correction in equities has led to a significant deterioration in sentiment. The bulls are pulling back sharply. This opens up a short-term contrarian potential. However, not only because of the typical August seasonality, this is likely to unfold fully only with an investment period of more than 2-3 weeks. Usually, this kind of sentiment slump is followed by a second "leg" after a short-lived recovery bounce.

Further results

  • Equities: Basic strategic confidence rises by majority
  • USD-JPY: Central bank turns investor bias around
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 07. August 2023 at 10:30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (30-2023)

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Written by Admin sentix | 30 July 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Signal of new beginnings in China, lethargy in Europe

The stock market in China is doing something remarkable. The investment professionals in particular are sending a strong signal of departure. Crude oil is also slowly developing momentum: the bias has increased by 12 percentage points in the last 6 weeks. Statistically, this means tailwinds for black gold, especially since the positioning of market participants is still lagging behind. Will this lead to new inflationary pressures? Bond investors are looking to the future with promise. Record bias leads to record long positioning.

Further results

  • Bonds: Record bias leads to record long positioning
  • Crude oil: new boost
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (29-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 23 July 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Strong interest in bonds - bias reaches all-time high!

The underlying interest in bonds remains strong. For the U.S. in particular, the bias is developing diametrically to the positioning pattern. In terms of investor behavior, there are therefore clear opportunities. Basic strategic confidence is also rising in gold and bitcoins. This conviction is lacking in equities. Rather, the pessimistic sentiment from 2 weeks ago is still having an effect, the short squeeze that was unleashed is still in full swing. A vola signal is pending at the end.

Further results

  • Equities: Short squeeze still running
  • Gold: Solid bias development
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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