sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

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Greece faces an Euro exit in 2015

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) climbed in December to its highest reading since August 2013. The actual level of 19.9 percent means that about one fifth of all investors expects at least one country to leave the Euro zone in 2015. At it is Greece that investors have in mind for such a "break-up".

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“Grexit” despite “grecovery”?

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) barely changes in November and now stands at 11.6%. Obviously, Mario Draghi's latest announcements have not really impressed investors as far as the integrity of the common currency is concerned. It is mainly Greece about which investors again worry. But France does not look good either.

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There the wood creaks

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) increases significantly in October from 7.7% to 11.8%. This is the highest reading since February 2014. The rising problems on the economic front of the Eurozone start again to undermine the stability of the Eurozone. To the weak readings in the EBI even the results of the Euro zone banking stress tests, which were already known in the market during the survey, could not change anything.

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Economic weakness does not undermine confidence in euro integrity

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) decreases in September from 8.2% to 7.7%. It again stands very close to its all-time low registered in July although economic assessments of investors have deteriorated markedly since then. Consequently, investors do currently not expect economic weakness to harm the euro. But the national EBIs of Greece and Italy disappoint nevertheless.

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EBI and economic expectations take separate ways

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In August, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) rises for the first time since December. But its increase by 0.6 points to 8.2% remains negligible. This holds all the more true if one considers how pronounced the recent fall of sentix economic expectations has been. Euro-zone government bonds thus remain an interesting asset class for investors. The sentix EBI data point to particularly good opportunities in Spanish titles.

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