sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

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The third: Portugal now in the spotlight

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After three drops in a row, anxieties concerning the continuation of the Eurozone rise once more in July. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) rises by around 4% points from 19.95% to 23.75%. A decisive factor regarding this rise is the governmental crisis in Portugal which had a clearly negative influence on the Portuguese national EBI.

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“Grexit” back on investors’ minds

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In June, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops from 21.85% to now 19.95%. With its third decrease in a row the indicator now almost reaches its February reading. The small decline can be explained with fading sorrows concerning Slovenia and Cyprus. For these two countries the national EBI display the most pronounced drops. But this month there is also a formerly well-known exit candidate coming back to investors' minds.

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Divided periphery

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops again in May, from 24.4% to now 21.9%. This is its second decrease in a row. In February and March, the index had risen against the background of the unclear outcome of the Italian elections and the irritating financial rescue of Cyprus. The current EBI is the third lowest in its one-year history. Only in January and February of this year its readings were lower.

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Euro pessimism fades

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The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for April falls from 41.1% to 24.4%. In the two previous months the EBI had increased as the outcome of the Italian elections and the Cypriot bail-out had rendered investors more pessimistic. As these two topics have become less scary in the meantime, investors have again become more confident concerning the future of the common currency: the current EBI value is the third lowest since the inception of the indicator in June 2012. Only in January and February the EBI stood lower.

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Cyprus and the other Euro angst

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The tiny island nation of Cyprus holds the euro zone in breathing. The impending collapse of the Mediterranean island has unsettled investors and from their perspective increases the likelihood of a breakup of the euro zone. The sentix euro break-up index, which measures that probability rises to 41.05% (19.25% for the previous month). This is the highest level since late September 2012. The survey was taken from March 22nd to March 23rd, 2013 and attended by some 1,000 investors.

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