sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

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EBI falls to all-time low despite French puzzle

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In October, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls by 4.5 percentage points to a new all-time low since its launch in June 2012. It now stands at 14.25%. This month’s decrease is the third in a row. Only in January the index had reached a comparably low level at 17.15%. The sentix EBI indicates that it is now about one in seven investors who expects at least one country to leave the euro zone within a year's time.

The decrease of the sentix EBI takes place against the background of prevailing government negotiations in Germany which now head for a grand coalition. Furthermore, negative headlines concerning the euro zone were relatively rare over the past weeks. Rather it was the United States and their budgetary impasse which seized the attention of investors recently.

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Sorrows surrounding the euro zone fade despite Italian woes

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls again in September. It is now down to 18.75% from 20.45%. This is its second-lowest reading since its introduction in June 2012. Only in January the index stood lower at 17.15%. Nevertheless, the sentix EBI indicates that it is still about one in five investors who expects at least one country to leave the euro zone within a year's time.

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German Euro Break-up Index slightly up before elections

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In August, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops from 23.75% to 20.45%. This means that last month’s irritation concerning the Portuguese political crisis which also had affected the sentix EBI has now almost faded. At the same time, the German national Break-up Index rises slightly four weeks ahead of the general elections in the euro zone’s largest economy.

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The third: Portugal now in the spotlight

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After three drops in a row, anxieties concerning the continuation of the Eurozone rise once more in July. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) rises by around 4% points from 19.95% to 23.75%. A decisive factor regarding this rise is the governmental crisis in Portugal which had a clearly negative influence on the Portuguese national EBI.

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“Grexit” back on investors’ minds

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In June, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops from 21.85% to now 19.95%. With its third decrease in a row the indicator now almost reaches its February reading. The small decline can be explained with fading sorrows concerning Slovenia and Cyprus. For these two countries the national EBI display the most pronounced drops. But this month there is also a formerly well-known exit candidate coming back to investors' minds.

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