sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

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EBI recedes despite fading economic optimism

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls for a sixth straight month. In June, it decreases from 9.0% to 8.5%. Over the last two years investors have never been so optimistic regarding the euro's future. But at the same time investors' economic expectations have been weakening recently. And a slowdown in economic activity could well lead to renewed fears concerning a euro break-up. This possibility is obviously ruled out by investors at the current juncture.

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Politics reach their aim – EBI continues its fall

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In May, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls from 9.8% to 9.0%. This again marks a new low in the history of the now two-year old indicator.

This month two developments are outstanding: Firstly, the national EBI for Italy now stands at 1.5% and thus, for the first time since the beginning of the year, clearly below the 2% threshold. Investors' nervousness surrounding Italy's government change in February has now faded a little. Secondly, the German index climbs from 1.0% to 1.7%. The European elections and the discussion about the euro-skeptic German party AfD have made investors once more aware of the fact that there is still a non-negligible number of euro-critics in Germany. This development now makes the German EBI the third highest behind the ones for Greece (6.7% after 7.1%) and for Cyprus (3.7% after 4.1%).

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Euro Break-up Index falls below 10 percent ahead of European elections

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In April, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls from 10.9% to 9.8% and thus below the 10 percent threshold for the first time since its launch in June 2012. The reading shows that now less than one in ten investors expects at least one country to leave the euro zone within the next twelve months.

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Investors do not see Portugal leaving the euro anymore

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) decreases once more to a new all-time low of 10.9% in March after 11.7% in the previous month. This reading shows that currently only one in nine investors expects at least one country to leave the euro area within the next twelve months.

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New Italian government does not receive a warm welcome

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) for February falls to a new all-time low of 11.7%, coming from 13.3% at the year's start. The reading of the sentix EBI shows that currently less than one in eight investors expects at least one country to leave the euro area within the next twelve months.

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