sentix starts Euro break-up risk index

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sentix starts the publication of a Euro break-up risk indicator

How do private and institutional investors think about the existence and stability of the euro zone? Which country is the biggest wobble candidate? These are just two of several issues that investors have to deal with since since the euro debt crisis became a dominant market factor.

The new sentix poll on the stability of the Euro zone amongst almost 4.000 investors starts on June 22th, 2012. The survey results provide new indicators that show whether and how many investors expect a break of the euro zone and which countries are particularly in focus.

The results will be reported by sentix on the following Monday on the internet (http://ebr.sentix.co.uk) (first time on June 25th, 2012)!

In addition all active participants will have access to the data and charts of this new indicator group in sentix My sentix portal (available from July 1st, 2012).

Das Viertelfinale

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Deutschland oder Griechenland – einer von beiden fliegt aus der Euro!

Wir sehen diese Headline schon ganz klar vor uns, denn wir setzen heute Abend gegen Dänemark auf ein erfolgreiches Spiel unserer Fußball-Nationalmannschaft und damit auf den Gruppensieg in der Gruppe B bei der Euro2012. Es käme dann am Freitag, den 22.6., zu einem brisanten Viertelfinale bei der Euro: Griechenland gegen Deutschland!

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Euro area turning into a global problem

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The recession in Euroland is deepening. The sentix total index for the Euroland-economy has dropped for the third time in a row and has hit the lowest value since May 2009 at -28.9! Situational and  expectational values are equally affected. The development in Euroland is affecting the previous growth motors more and more negatively. Germany, the USA and the global index all drop clearly. This should now challenge the central banks. Low inflation expectations open space for this.

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Parallel-Welten und der Euro-Euro

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Dr. Thomas Mayer, inzwischen ehemaliger Chef-Volkswirt der Deutschen Bank, hat den Vorschlag unterbreitet, Griechenland durch die Einführung einer Parallelwährung zu stabilisieren. Nachfolgend eine kritische Betrachtung dieser Idee. Zudem wage ich einen besonderen Blick auf unsere Anleihemärkte!

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Das Unvermeidliche

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Es gibt immer noch ein paar unentwegte Optimisten, die glauben, dass der Euro in seiner gegenwärtigen Form Bestand hat. Wenn es gut läuft, bleibt es nur bei einem Austritt Griechenlands.

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