Euro zone is marking time

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The composite index for the euro zone drops by one point to now -12.6 in July. The index is currently marking time. This is mainly caused by the assessment of the current situation which has made no headway for the past months. Investors' expectations remain above average, institutional investors are even becoming more optimistic. For Germany, the US and Japan, the composite indices rise significantly. Here, investors are extremely positively predisposed towards the economy. However, in the emerging markets regions, composite indices fall strongly, with the assessments of the current situation as a special burden. The index for the global aggregate therefore also declines in July.

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sentix Market Profiles 06/2013

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Für die nächsten 4 Quartale haben die Anleger folgende durchschnittliche Erwartungshaltung (rot, blau) an die Entwicklung folgender Assetklassen (klicken Sie auf die Charts um diese zu vergrößern):

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Neuer Kompendiumsbeitrag: sentix Strategischer Bias

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Wir haben den Kompendiumsbeitrag zum sentix Strategischen Bias überarbeitet und erweitert. Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Version.

“Grexit” back on investors’ minds

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In June, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops from 21.85% to now 19.95%. With its third decrease in a row the indicator now almost reaches its February reading. The small decline can be explained with fading sorrows concerning Slovenia and Cyprus. For these two countries the national EBI display the most pronounced drops. But this month there is also a formerly well-known exit candidate coming back to investors' minds.

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Euro Area passes through dent

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The composite index for Euroland rises in June by 4 points and stands now at -11.6. The spring dent seems to have passed. The current turn is taking place earlier than in the past years, where similar patterns could be observed. This is pointing to a more robust economy. Should the current trend continue in the coming months, Euroland will finally move back into growth territory in the course of next quarter. Outside the Eurozone, the composite indices for the USA and for Japan reach their highest readings since Mai 2006 and August 2007, respectively. The indices for the Emerging Markets regions weaken once again. For  the global aggregate. this leads to a stabilisation.

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