Bilanztricksereien

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Merkwürdige Ideen kursieren durch den Blätterwald. Die neueste Idee: Ein Schuldenerlass durch die Notenbanken könnte die Lösung für überschuldete Staaten bedeuten. Ist der Weihnachtsmann doch auch der Osterhase?

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Confidence rises again

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The composite index for the euro zone rises in November for the third time in a row. This time, both the economic situation and the expectations index contribute to this development. The indices for the US and Asia ex Japan are able to gain even more than the one for the euro area. Once more, the view of the institutionals brightens more than that of private investors. 

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Fears of a euro breakup fade

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The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for October marks its sharpest fall since it was launched in June this year. The EBI decreases to 33.2 % from 51.9 % in the previous month. That means that only every third among those surveyed now thinks that one country or more will leave the euro zone within the next twelve months. In July the EBI had reached a high at 73.3 %, and has gone down since. The October survey was conducted from October 25th to October 27th among 922 investors.

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Further improved expectations signal trend reversal

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The composite index for Euroland rises in October for the second time in a row. Once again, the positive development in expectations is the supporting pillar for the improvement in the composite index. Expectations have even risen for a third time in a row, signaling a trend reversal. This pattern can also be found in the Global Index. For Germany, we find a special phenomenon: the doubters are currently the institutional investors, beforehand, they were to be found amongst private investors.

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Balance between pessimists and optimists

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The sentix Euro-Break-up Index (EBI) for September falls again markedly. This time it decreases by ten percentage points. The EBI now stands at 51.9 %. That means that only about half of those 897 investors who took part in the latest sentix survey expect at least one country to leave the euro zone within the next twelve months. The survey was conducted from September 27th to September 29th.

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