sentix Survey results (30-2019)

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Silver bias goes through the ceiling

At 71 percent, the strategic bull overhang in silver marks an absolute record. The strategic bias on silver rises to dizzying heights and illustrates the extremely high basic conviction among investors. A reaction in the positioning behavior has already taken place! With almost 55,000 contracts traded (CoT Report), speculations on a rising silver price predominate. It remains positive that the sentiment for silver (see also page 4 middle) with +30% clearly lags behind the bias.

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Sample of the pre-election years does not bring any seasonal re-lief

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Sample of the pre-election years does not bring any seasonal relief

The Lent period on the stock markets is about to begin. From now on the friendly period for shares ends. Volatile, low-yield stock market weeks lie ahead of us.

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sentix Survey results (29-2019)

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The bear comes back, but he's not yelling out

The two large investor camps are once again taking different paths in their strategic considerations. The difference between the bias of institutional and private investors has risen again to 10 points for the US equity market. The private sector is therefore much more sceptical than the investment professionals. As a rule, this is a good sign for the stock markets. On an 8-week horizon, the S&P 500 will rise by an average of 2.8 percent after such a signal. But there are also rare exceptions: September 2018!

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Sector signal for automobiles and telecom stocks

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The car stocks are still very interesting in sentiment terms, as the sector sentiment is almost -2.3 standard deviations in absolute terms and thus one of the lowest values ever measured by sentix since 2001. A negative sentiment indicates an underinvestment by investors and, from a contrary point of view, price opportunities.

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sentix Survey results (28-2019)

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GBP in focus

The United Kingdom is still struggling to find the right course on the Brexit issue. The answer will come from a new prime minister. The fact that economic data in the UK have developed comparatively positively has remained largely unnoticed in recent weeks. The country has so far coped surprisingly well with the Brexit uncertainty. Now there are signs of a rethink among investors. The British pound could benefit from this!

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