Germany is following suit

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The sentix Economic Sentiment Index is sending out a positive signal in July: the economic outlook for the euro-zone is brightening noticeably, underpinned by a marked improvement in expectations and growing investor confidence. Germany, in particular, is providing a boost, as the latest political measures appear to be building confidence and noticeably lifting sentiment. A broad-based upturn is also evident globally: all economic regions are growing, whilst the Eurozone and Germany – previously sources of pressure – are now also contributing to the recovery. This further reinforces the signs of a dynamic global economic recovery.

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Chancen bei Gold - Risiko-Report - 06.26

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Im Risikoradar messen wir einige interessante Signale. Vor allem die Gold-Bullen werden aufatmen. Die Korrektur könnte auslaufen. Zumindest überwiegen inzwischen die Chancen deulich die noch vorhandenen Risiken aus einer nicht völlig bereinigten Positionierung. Auch bei Öl hat sich die Risikolage inzwischen deutlich verändert und es werden wieder Chancen angezeigt. Bei Aktien bestehen dagegen selektiv Risiken aus einer überkauften Markttechnik, und zwar für den US-Markt und japanische Aktien.

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sentix Survey results (26-2026)

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High neutrality is likely to fuel volatility

From investors’ perspective, oil prices have overreacted in the short term. At these lower price levels, the asset’s medium-term appeal is increasing. Interestingly, however, investors have nevertheless reduced their positions significantly. A high degree of neutrality continues to dominate the equity market, which is likely to lead to a rise in volatility.

Further results

  • Gold: Positive data once again confirmed
  • Crude oil: Strategic confidence is rising
  • sentix investor positioning in equities, bonds and others assets

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Sommer-Comeback der Edelmetalle? - Seasonality-Report - 06.26

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Bislang folgen die Aktienmärkte ihrem durchschnittlichen Saisonprofil. Die Analogie zum US-Präsidentschaftszyklus ist inzwischen deutlich gebrochen worden. Damit besteht noch Raum für kurzfristige Kursverbesserungen. Eine Sommerkorrektur bleibt allerdings immer noch möglich. In „normalen“ Jahren zeigen die Aktien im August und September Schwächen. Vor allem zyklische Sektoren haben im August oftmals Probleme. Die Zeitanalyse zeigt aber auch, dass 2026 ein Jahr ist, welches bislang mit Jahren korreliert, die keine Sommerkorrektur hatten. Während damit die Aktienaussichten differenziert zu betrachten sind, scheinen sich die Aussichten bei Edelmetallen relativ eindeutig saisonal aufzuhellen.

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sentix Survey results (25-2026)

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The bears have almost disappeared

The level of unease amongst equity investors, as measured by the Neutrality Index, remains high. This is primarily because the bears have given up entirely and switched to the neutral camp. In US sentiment data, however, the bears remain steadfast. This is reminiscent of last autumn. Following that, the market lost some of its upward momentum. Ahead of the sweltering summer months, this is not necessarily a reassuring prospect.

Further results

  • Gold: Strategic confidence remains
  • EUR-USD: Underlying confidence at a critical threshold
  • sentix Styles – Risk appetite and investor preferences

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