sentix Survey results (01-2020)

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Overconfidence in series

At the end of the year, almost everything has now taken a knock, which is an anti-cyclical reminder to be cautious with equities. In addition to the high values in the sentix Sentiment for US equities, the AAII bull bear index has also reached an extreme value. In addition, we measured high long ratios among both private and institutional investors at the end of December. Risk is also indicated by the high overconfidence. The start of the year should be bumpy.

Further topics:

  • Equities: Italy's stock market creates perspectiv
  • Crude oil: Sentiment runs hot
  • sentix Economic indices: Monday, 06.01.2020, 10.30 AM

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

The next surprise at the start of the year

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The riots surrounding the conflict between the US and Iran, which dominated the news at the end of the week, were either ignored by investors or are not considered to be crucial for the economy. This is the result of the sentix economic survey, which brought a further improvement in the economic assessment of the global econo-my at the beginning of the year. This is the third surprise in a row for the "first mover"! The data for all regions of the world are improving, especially in Asia ex Japan.

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The wind turns

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After an all-time low in November, the Euro Break-up Index rose by 1.2 points at the end of the year. Besides Italy and France, the sub-indices of Malta and Estonia are also rising.

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sentix Survey results (52-2019)

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Year-end edition: US equity bias closes at annual high

Institutional investors are significantly overinvested in equities at the end of the year. We measure a 2-year high in investment behaviour. This is atypical, because normally the professionals move to their benchmark at the end of the year and enter the new year neutrally. The market's vulnerability at the start of the year is therefore high.

Further topics:

  • Bonds: Bias closes at annual low
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (51-2019)

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Christmas Edition: New dynamics in precious metals

Gold remains a favourite. The bias climbs to 49 percentage points, sentiment has also risen, but remains significantly lower from its level. Overall, a solid foundation for gold bulls.

Further topics:

  • Equities: Bias remains solid
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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