sentix Investmentmeinung 06-2019

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Positive Signale für den DAX?

Die Stimmung an den Aktienmärkten hat im Wochenverlauf einen erheblichen Dämpfer erfahren. Um rund 30 Prozentpunkte hat sich das sentix Stimmungsbarometer für den deutschen Aktienmarkt verschlechtert. Mit einem Wert vom -0,32 ist ein interessantes Niveau für konträr denkende Investoren erreicht.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: DAX

Lesen Sie hier die Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

sentix Survey results (06-2019)

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Surprisingly sharp drop in sentiment

The correction in equities and the associated news flow have caused considerable uncertainty among investors in the short term. The mood is literally tipping over and, above all, we are measuring sentiment values close to the lower extreme range in relation to the DAX and Co. This gives reason to hope that prices will recover for more than two weeks. Bonds, on the other hand, appear increasingly over-excited. This also applies to gold, but here the high basic confidence must be included in the calculation.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 05-2019

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Überreizt

In den letzten Monaten konnten Anleger vor allem mit Anleihen und Edelmetallen stabile Gewinne erwirtschaften. Beide Anlageklassen bildeten entsprechend über längere Zeit den Kernbestandteil unseres Research-Portfolios. Doch nun zeigen sich erhöhte Risiken für eine bullische Ausrichtung. Dem tragen wir Rechnung.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Gold, Silber, Bund Future, US-T-Note Future

Lesen Sie hier die Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

Spring recovery not yet in sight

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Even in February, the bad news for the economy in Euroland is not abating. The sentix economic index drops to only +3.1 points for the sixth time in a row. This is the lowest level since November 2014! The sentix indices are performing similarly to the recent ifo index: with slightly improved expectations, the situation values continue to collapse. Things are looking a little better internationally. The overall indices may improve slightly here. But this is not enough to proclaim a turnaround.

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sentix Survey results (05-2019)

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Turning away from the US-Dollar continues to increase

Hardly any other asset class is currently more optimistic than precious metals. The sentiment for gold and silver is extremely euphoric. Conversely, equities are showing great perplexity. The picture for bonds seems much clearer to investors. Unfortunately, this promotes increasing overconfidence, which significantly increases the risk for fixed-income. In addition, the US dollar is increasingly turning away. The euro and the yen profit from this.

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