sentix Survey results (18-2021)

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No supportive market low reached yet

Sentiment in equities has deteriorated over the course of the week. The chart of the week shows the link between sentiment and the volatility structure in equities. This might give the impression that sentiment could already be negative enough for equities to rise. But this is not the case, in our opinion. Rather, there is still a lack of a sufficiently large number of bears for a supporting market low.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Basic confidence turns down again
  • Commodities: Positive focus continues

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sentix Survey results (17-2021)

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New 26-week lows in the bias

The high long positioning in the euro/US dollar is still weighing on the exchange rate despite the reduction. The recent recovery of the European currency has not led to a lasting change in the bias. A strengthening of the US dollar should be the logical consequence. In addition, investors' basic strategic conviction about equities has also deteriorated further. The willingness to take profits is clearly increasing.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Price weakness indicated for BTPs
  • Gold: It looks quite good
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (16-2021)

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Basic confidence in equities continues to fall

The fundamental situation based on sentiment analysis has not changed. In equities, we observe a further reduction in basic strategic confidence. The price level reached is increasingly perceived as expensive. In view of the fact that the portfolios are still offensively oriented, however, this will foreseeably become a burden. With bonds, but even more so with precious metals, alternative markets are available for shareholders willing to sell.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Propensity to buy back
  • Gold: Precious metals score again
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (15-2021)

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Sentiment cooling & new cycle low in bias

Equity sentiment has cooled considerably within a week. However, the further decline in the strategic bias is problematic. Particularly in the Chinese equity markets, there is no inclination to buy back. Stronger sentiment adjustments are also occurring on the sector side. The trend in precious metals is positive, as the bias continues to rise. This is in line with adjusted positioning. Rising gold prices should be possible.

Further results:

  • Equities: Still overconfidence in the eurozone
  • Gold: Precious metals score
  • sentix Sector sentiment

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Strong increase in the current situation - worldwide!

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In April, the sentix Economic Index for the Eurozone rose very strongly by 8.1 points. The leading indicator reach-es its highest level since August 2018. In the latest data, the assessment of the current situation is particularly positive - and that worldwide! As a result, some economic regions have made it into the boom quadrant. On the positive side, expectations have not weakened, but have even increased in many cases. The economic expectations for the Eurozone have reached a new all-time high!

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