Data revision notification SNTL

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Dear data client, due to a bug, a data point in the SNTL data sets for May 2010 was missing. We have reconstructed the data and added the missing data point to the data series.

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Behavioral Finance: Understanding the Psychology Behind Financial Decision-Making

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In the realm of traditional finance, economic theories often assume that investors are rational, utility-maximizing individuals who make decisions based on all available information. However, in reality, human behavior is far more complex and often deviates from these rational models. This realization has given rise to a field known as behavioral finance, which seeks to understand the psychological factors that influence financial decision-making and the subsequent impact on markets and economic outcomes.

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sentix Survey results (33-2023)

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In the middle of the process, not at the end

Sentiment for equities is plummeting dramatically. The sentiment level brings back memories of September 2022. The sentiment signal at that time marked the beginning of a major upward movement. Is the current situation comparable and is there a similarly resilient sentiment buy signal today? It is worth paying attention to similarities and differences. A worrying development is emerging for the Chinese stock market.

Further results

  • Equities: No reassessment
  • Equities: Problematic situation in China
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (32-2023)

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EUR/USD: High neutrality pairs with further warning signals

Investors are slowly taking heart in equities and are looking positively into the fourth quarter. The bias for U.S. equities, but also for Japanese dividend stocks, is clearly upward. At the same time, short-term concerns persist. Overall, irritation remains at a high level, which could bring high volatility to the equity markets in the short term.
High neutrality is also a theme in currencies and bitcoin. Super neutrality is reaching extreme levels.

Further results

  • Equities: Bias increases, focus turns to the fourth quarter
  • Bonds: High Overconfidence of Fixed Income Bears in the U.S.
  • sentix sector sentiment

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Nosedive stopped, but no all clear

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At -18.9 points, the sentix economic index for the euro zone is 3.6 points higher than in July. The overall index thus stopped its nosedive. However, the assessment of the current situation remains weak at -20.5 points, while expectations have risen by 7.3 points to -17.3. Germany is providing fuel for the fire: The largest economy in the euro zone is becoming the sick man of the Eurozone and is weighing heavily on the region. The overall index for Germany falls for the fourth time in a row to -30.7 points. The situation slumped by 7.3 points, while the expectations score of -26 points also gave little cause for hope. By contrast, there are bright spots in the economic regions of the USA and Asia ex Japan.

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