sentix Survey results (22-2019)

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Angst

The already bad sentiment for US equities last week has increased again by 8 points within a week. We measure a bear surplus of -34 percentage points. We thus attest to fear among investors and are heading for an anti-cyclical buying opportunity in the S&P 500. Stock prices should rise after another week at the latest.

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Bund future positioning becomes a risk factor

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Since the end of 2016, the positioning of investors has changed massively. Defensive positioning has now turned into the highest long rate since 2008 (!).

The attached analysis shows what this means for investors in the bond market.

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Investors do not worry about the Euro-Zone at the moment

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The current survey on the sentix Euro Break-up Index showed relaxed investors before the EU election. The overall index for the euro zone fells further to 7.96%. This is the lowest value since April 2018. The sub-index for Italy is also following this trend and is also falling by 1 percentage point.

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sentix Survey results (21-2019)

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Highest degree of underinvestment in 2019

Sentiment for US equities is tense. The number of bulls is falling to a level that has recently marked lower turning points. The comparison of AAII and sentix shows that both data sources send the same message. The S&P 500 could therefore reach a market low in the short term.

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sentix Professional Research (für Umfrage-Teilnehmer) - 20-2019

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Als Dankeschön für Ihre aktive Umfrageteilnahme erhalten Sie in dieser Woche einen Auszug aus dem

sentix Saisonalitäts-Report - Mai 2019

Wenn Sie mehr über diesen Report oder die sentix-Professional Research-Reihe erfahren wollen, schreiben Sie uns und testen Sie die Reports 3 Monate zum Vorzugspreis.

Lesen Sie hier weiter (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

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