sentix Survey results (31-2019)

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Bargain hunters, where are you?

With a bear surplus of 35 percentage points, the sentiment for US equities reflects strongly frightened investors. We measure a 52-week low in the sentiment barometer (inverted presentation). At the same time, the P/C ratio is also starting to rise. The measured fear is an indication that we are heading for a temporary market low. However, a return of US equities to the bull market seems impossible. The reaction in the strategic bias (not shown) is too weak for this.

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High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation

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High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation

With gold, we are currently measuring a clearly tense risk constellation. The overall risk index for gold amounts to -1.13 standard deviations.

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sentix Survey results (30-2019)

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Silver bias goes through the ceiling

At 71 percent, the strategic bull overhang in silver marks an absolute record. The strategic bias on silver rises to dizzying heights and illustrates the extremely high basic conviction among investors. A reaction in the positioning behavior has already taken place! With almost 55,000 contracts traded (CoT Report), speculations on a rising silver price predominate. It remains positive that the sentiment for silver (see also page 4 middle) with +30% clearly lags behind the bias.

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Sample of the pre-election years does not bring any seasonal re-lief

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Sample of the pre-election years does not bring any seasonal relief

The Lent period on the stock markets is about to begin. From now on the friendly period for shares ends. Volatile, low-yield stock market weeks lie ahead of us.

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sentix Survey results (29-2019)

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The bear comes back, but he's not yelling out

The two large investor camps are once again taking different paths in their strategic considerations. The difference between the bias of institutional and private investors has risen again to 10 points for the US equity market. The private sector is therefore much more sceptical than the investment professionals. As a rule, this is a good sign for the stock markets. On an 8-week horizon, the S&P 500 will rise by an average of 2.8 percent after such a signal. But there are also rare exceptions: September 2018!

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