sentix Survey results (12-2021)

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The previous stock market stars lose their appeal

Most recently, we measured the highest sentiment values for equities in over a year. In addition, an increasing willingness to take profits can be seen, which is weighing on the previous stars of the stock market in particular. The weakening fundamental conviction can also be observed in a bias erosion in crude oil. As a rule, positioning follows the bias with a certain time lag. This could provide relief for the extremely present inflation concerns and also for bond prices.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Obviousness
  • FX: The dollar bulls continue to dance
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (11-2021)

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Bullish sentiment urges caution

A successful stock market week lies behind us. The DAX and the Euro STOXX in particular were able to report significant price jumps. Investors have noticeably increased their portfolio risks, as our data show. This has clearly improved sentiment. This gives rise to risks. The same applies to the US equity markets. In the smaller stocks, we measure a share of almost 25% of stocks that are now technically overbought. This is also a sign that the air is now getting thinner.

Further results:

  • Silver: Basic strategic confidence rises again
  • FX: US dollar still in demand
  • sentix Sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (10-2021)

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US Bonds with Countercyclical Buy Signal

Recently, rising yields have put US technology stocks in particular under pressure. Due to the high weight in the main indices, this also had consequences for the broad market. All the more remarkable is the recent turn in the strategic bias for U.S. Treasuries. This has risen by more than 11 percentage points in the last three weeks. Such a rate of change promises purely statistical recovery potential for U.S. bonds. The equity markets should benefit from this.

Further results:

  • Equities: Stable underlying confidence, sentiment supports
  • FX: US dollar still in demand
  • sentix economic index: Monday 08th March 2021 at 10:30 CET

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sentix Survey results (09-2021)

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Renewed TD signals

The market environment for equities is not good at the moment. A look at the proportion of shares above the 50-day line, for example, shows a divergence for the S&P 500 Index. Such a divergence has been a harbinger of corrections in the past. It is therefore surprising that the sentix sentiment indicators show price opportunities. After all, the sentiment values are already clearly gloomy. What will prevail?

Further results:

  • Bonds: Positioning becomes support
  • Gold: The worst seems to be over
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (08-2021)

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The next tactical buy signal

Very quickly, worries on the stock market arise again. This is astonishing, since the relatively calm price development in the stock indices does not actually provide any reason for fears. In the medium-term bias, these worries are not visible; calmness and persistence stand out there. Even the emerging interest rate fears cannot shake investors' fundamental conviction in equities. Consequently, the next tactical buy signal is in place.

Further results:
  • Equities: Low bias vola
  • Bonds: Interest rate fears are present
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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