Significant increase in risk appetite

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In the last few days, the stock markets have regained momentum and extended their recovery movements, which began in mid-March at the peak of the Corona crisis. This price rally coincides with a seasonally typical positive time window, namely the first half of July. Will the upswing continue or will the usual summer correction follow?

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sentix Survey results (29-2020)

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Neutral mood

The behaviour of speculative small investors is currently the subject of much debate. This can be seen in the very low values in the US equity put/call ratio. However, in our opinion this indicator is not representative of the actual sentiment. According to our sentiment, a certain skepticism continues to dominate overall. However, individual sub-segments, especially in the technology sector, are rightly subject to criticism, as a glance at our strategic bias in the analysis reveals.

Further topics:

  • FX: Buy and sell indications
  • Silver: High overconfidence
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (28-2020)

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Nasdaq records without euphoria

It remains astonishing how strongly sentiment and the put-call ratio diverge. The chronically negative sentiment is supporting the S&P500, while small investors in particular on platforms such as "Robin-Hood" are stirring up the options markets. All-time highs on the Nasdaq do not create a jubilant mood! Only when pessimism falls should the market have reached its top. In addition, a seasonally strong equity window will open again in the short term.

Further topics:

  • Equities: Seasonal positive impulse meets pessimism
  • FX: Unloved US dollar
  • sentix Sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (27-2020)

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Unfavourable development

"Moods up, bias down." This reaction in investor behaviour is basically an unfavourable development for equities. Nevertheless, the stock market could once again venture a (short-term) upward attack. This is because seasonality has opened another positive window of opportunity. This week, the stock markets in China and the gold and silver mine complex are conspicuous. In addition, there is a rare constellation in Bitcoins.

Further topics:

  • Equities: China's stock market surprises investors
  • Bitcoins: Crypto market faces major movement
  • sentix economic indices: Monday 06th July 2020 at 10:30 A.M.

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sentix Survey results (26-2020)

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Irritation increases

Despite the considerable irritation and distortions caused by the corona crisis, the stock markets are largely developing in line with their typical seasonal profiles. This is particularly true of the DAX index. If this were to continue, a positive trend would have to develop over the course of the week, which could last until around July 20. In this issue, we examine whether the conditions for this are also present in terms of sentiment.

Further topics:

  • FX: USD continues to fall from grace
  • Commodities: All-time high in the silver sentiment
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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