sentix Survey results (24-2024)

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Fear of elections in France

Sentiment fell significantly last week, particularly on the European stock markets. This is less the case for US equities. There, medium-term confidence in equities continues to rise. The political barometer shows that this is a Central European phenomenon. The strategic bias for French government bonds has reacted significantly. Precious metals, on the other hand, are stable and Bitcoin is also sending out an exclamation mark.

Further results

  • Bonds: Reaction to the spreads
  • FX: Single currency under pressure
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (23-2024)

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Crude oil: Positive indication in the TD Index

We are measuring an improvement in sentiment and basic strategic confidence in equities. The latter is unusual against the backdrop of seasonality. Bonds, on the other hand, are not gaining in strategic bias. The data on crude oil is promising.

Further results

  • Equities: Further improvement in sentiment
  • Bonds: No improvement in basic confidence
  • sentix economic indices: Monday, 10.06.24, 10.30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (22-2024)

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First positive sentiment signals

Sentiment towards equities continues to cool. At the same time, we are measuring an increase in medium-term basic confidence. This is an unusual change in the data both in terms of seasonal timing and against the background of price trends. Statistically, this points to rising share prices. We are also seeing a noteworthy signal in the Japanese yen.

Further results

  • Gold: Hardly any room for new buying
  • FX: Investors fear renewed selling in USD-JPY

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sentix ASR Essentials (21-2014)

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Investors not concerned about weak market breadth

Market breadth, measured by the proportion of shares in an index above the 50- or 250-day average, is eroding in the US equity market in a remarkable way. Surprisingly, however, this is not yet causing investors any strategic concern. As sentiment values are slightly negative at the same time, the bulls could make another attempt to attack. Things could also get exciting for oil. At the very least, the high neutrality indicates increasing volatility.

Further results

  • Bonds: Short maturities favoured
  • Gold: Further profit-taking to be expected
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (20-2024)

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Slight cooling of sentiment

Despite the gains in share prices, there is no euphoria in sentiment. On the contrary. Sentiment is cooling. The still positive seasonal window could therefore be used by equities for further price gains. There is an interesting signal for EUR-USD. Basic strategic confidence is rising significantly. The euro should continue to benefit from this.

Further results

  • EUR-USD: Significant rise in bias
  • Oil: TD Index on typical path
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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