sentix Survey results (29-2021)

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Unusually stable sentiment

We continue to measure unusual sentiment developments on the stock market. Although the technical condition of the stock markets has deteriorated over the course of the week, impressively demonstrated for example by the decline of stocks above the 250-day line in the Russell 2000 Index and the resulting negative divergence in the indicator, there has been virtually no change in sentiment and bias. In our opinion, this is not a positive sign.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Private investors develop strategic confidence
  • Crude oil: Strategic bias falls again
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (28-2021)

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TD buy signals

The moderate correction over the course of the week has an astonishingly large impact on sentiment in equities. With underlying confidence stable at the same time, buy signals are emerging in the TD Index. Statistically, these are very interesting, but two reasons are likely to limit the bulls' dreams: on the one hand, the approaching end of seasonal support and, on the other, the further clouding of the strategic situation in China.

Further results:

  • Precious metals: Positive bias development
  • Crude oil: Strategic bias tips off
  • sentix Sector Sentiment

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sentix Survey results (27-2021)

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Something does not fit together

Bond prices seem stable. In the background, however, basic strategic confidence has plummeted and positioning, conversely, is far too high. These developments do not fit together, especially as the latest economic figures are adding fuel to the fire. The latest July data from the "first mover" point the way. Speaking of oil, the risk factors for black gold are rising again. The situation is much more relaxed for precious metals.

Further results:

  • Equities: China as a disruptive factor
  • Crude oil: Risk radar with negative signal
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 05th July 2021 at 10:30 AM CET

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sentix Survey results (26-2021)

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Bears lose patience

Offensively oriented equity portfolios meet extremely high neutrality. This is likely to lead to greater volatility in the coming weeks! In addition, the bears are slowly losing patience, the correction in equities just won't come. So something is brewing! Risks are also increasing in crude oil: The Overconfidence Index is the first warning signal.

Further results:

  • Equities: Super-Neutrality with new all-time high
  • Crude oil: High overconfidence
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (25-2021)

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Weak post-future expiry week likely

The June futures expiry is usually very important in the stock markets. Investors take stock of the first half of the year and are called upon to position themselves for the second half of the year and - even more important - for the often volatile summer months. The week after expiry is usually accompanied by price weakness before a final phase of strength until the end of July. Sentiment data does not necessarily contradict this course, with volatility casting its shadow ahead.

Further results:

  • Equities: Professionals lose basic confidence
  • Gold: First stabilisation, then upswing again
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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