sentix Survey results (17-2021)

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New 26-week lows in the bias

The high long positioning in the euro/US dollar is still weighing on the exchange rate despite the reduction. The recent recovery of the European currency has not led to a lasting change in the bias. A strengthening of the US dollar should be the logical consequence. In addition, investors' basic strategic conviction about equities has also deteriorated further. The willingness to take profits is clearly increasing.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Price weakness indicated for BTPs
  • Gold: It looks quite good
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (16-2021)

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Basic confidence in equities continues to fall

The fundamental situation based on sentiment analysis has not changed. In equities, we observe a further reduction in basic strategic confidence. The price level reached is increasingly perceived as expensive. In view of the fact that the portfolios are still offensively oriented, however, this will foreseeably become a burden. With bonds, but even more so with precious metals, alternative markets are available for shareholders willing to sell.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Propensity to buy back
  • Gold: Precious metals score again
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (15-2021)

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Sentiment cooling & new cycle low in bias

Equity sentiment has cooled considerably within a week. However, the further decline in the strategic bias is problematic. Particularly in the Chinese equity markets, there is no inclination to buy back. Stronger sentiment adjustments are also occurring on the sector side. The trend in precious metals is positive, as the bias continues to rise. This is in line with adjusted positioning. Rising gold prices should be possible.

Further results:

  • Equities: Still overconfidence in the eurozone
  • Gold: Precious metals score
  • sentix Sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (14-2021)

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Best equity sentiment since the end of 2019

There are increasing signs that the current equity rally will soon come to an end. This is clear from several indicators. Sentiment has risen to its most optimistic level since the end of 2019, while basic strategic confidence is crumbling. At the same time, portfolios are offensively oriented. And last but not least, we measure a falling share of stocks that are yet to reach new 52-week highs. Such a divergence should also be classified as a critical harbinger.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Stabilization phase underway
  • Gold: Basic strategic confidence returns
  • sentix Economic Index: Tuesday, 06.04.2021 at 10:30h CEST

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sentix Survey results (13-2021)

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Unusual unexcitedness

An unusual "lack of excitement" can be observed on the stock markets. Even a potential supply shortage caused by the accident of a container ship in the Suez Canal seems to have little effect on the stock markets. Investors reflect via the crude oil bias that they do not assume a serious supply shortage in the economy. Plenty of emotionality can be measured on the currency side, however. The US dollar is strongly en vogue.

Further results:

  • Bonds: Stabilization phase underway
  • FX: Sentiment extremes in the US dollar
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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